Patrick Walsh's Real Estate Blog | Tempe AZ | Real Estate, Foreclosures, Home Staging, First Time Home Buyers, Short Sales

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Tempe Foreclosures

Real Estate Market Continues to Improve

Friday, June 5th, 2009

The real estate market is continuing to show signs of improvement after a consistent two-month drop in the absorption rate. The absorption rate is the ratio between active and solds: the time it would take at the current rate of sale for the inventory to be completely sold. For example, if there are 10,000 homes for sale in a region, and 1,000 are sold each month, the absorption rate would be 10.

At the end of April, the absorption rate for the valley was down to 5.5 – a few years ago, it wasn’t uncommon for a home in the Phoenix-metropolitan area to sit on the market for 25-30 months. Anything below an absorption rate of 6 is considered a seller’s market. At present, the absorption rate is down to an astonishing 4.3.

There are currently 40,034 homes for sale on the real estate market – in the beginning of April, there were 50,000 homes for sale. That is a 20 percent drop in inventory in just two months. The number of homes for sale is expected to drop below 40,000 by the end of the month. There are 13,669 pending sales expected to close in the next 30 days. During the month of May, 9,351 homes were sold – in April, 8,527 homes were sold (April 1-24). In short, there were 824 more homes sold and 2,432 fewer homes for sale in May than there were in April.

May was also a good month for Tempe. In Tempe, the absorption rate is now 6.6 – not even a month ago, the absorption rate was hovering at a 10 or 11 month absorption rate. The number of homes for sale in Tempe is 131, bringing the inventory of available homes down to 876.

Investors are still continuing to snatch up foreclosures – they are buying foreclosures at a faster rate than they are hitting the market. The absorption rate for foreclosures is less than 1.0. In the last month, 5,939 foreclosures were sold, leaving only 5,472 on the market. If you want to buy a home, don’t be discouraged – there are still plenty of homes and foreclosures out there. Just know that there is a strong chance that you will be competing against multiple offers.

Steady home sales could be positive signal (CNN Money)

More Americans Consider Buying Foreclose Homes (MarketWatch)

Realty Times Market Conditions: Arizona (Realty Times)

Tips to Help You Avoid Foreclosure

Thursday, May 7th, 2009

The real estate market is currently in a state of flux, with many people still struggling to keep their homes. Arizona Republic reporter Chad Graham shared real estate reporter Catherine Reagor’s tips for readers who are dealing with a potential foreclosure. According to Reagor, foreclosures spiked more than tenfold in the past year as homeowners fell behind on their mortgage payments. Here are some of Reagor’s tips that can help you from becoming a statistic in Tempe:

1. Contact your Tempe lender immediately.

2. Organize important papers – locate such items as lender information, annual tax returns paychecks and monthly utility bills (any organization providing assistance will ask for this information).

3. Look into Making Home Affordable, a plan to stabilize our housing market and help up to 7 to 9 millions Americans reduce their monthly mortgage payments to more affordable levels. For more information, visit www.makinghomeaffordable.com or call 888-995-HOPE.

4. Call the Arizona Foreclosure Prevention Hotline at 877-448-1211. It offers bilingual counselors.

5. Check out www.hud.gov. Click on the “foreclosure avoidance counseling” link and then choose Arizona. It is a good way to find a counselor approved by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).

6. Consider a short sale – you won’t make any money, but you won’t have a foreclosure on your credit either.

Not everyone is going to be able to avoid foreclosures, but for many of you, it is not too late. Facing a foreclosure can be daunting, but it is important to face the challenge head on with creativity and honesty – hiding mortgage statements in the junk drawer or changing your phone number will not help you keep your Tempe home. So pause, take a deep breath, and start getting in touch with the people who can help you avoid foreclosure.

Trustee Sale Foreclosure

Monday, March 2nd, 2009

I recently sent out a link to an article that appeared on MSNBC.com about a legal procedure that has allowed some people to force banks that are trying to foreclose on them to back off. A high percentage of loans have been bundled and sold on the secondary market, making the original documentation hard to find. By obliging the banks to produce the loan documents in a court of law, some judges have ruled in favor of the borrowers. However, this only works in some states.

Two Arizona attorneys who received the link to the article were quick to point out to me that this does not work in the state of Arizona. Here’s what one attorney wrote: “This strategy probably will have little utility in Arizona because most foreclosures are non-judicial and production of the note as a trial exhibit occurs only in judicial foreclosures.” In Arizona, it all hinges around a Deed of Trust: “The required documentation for Arizona foreclosures by Trustee Sale is already recorded, in most cases.”

What about filing a court action to seek an injunction to stop the Deed of Trust sale? Forget it. “This can be an expensive proposition not likely to succeed without already having additional evidence questioning the lender’s right to proceed.”

So there you have it. In judicial foreclosure states (not Arizona, generally speaking), the lender files the foreclosure action in court, and the homeowner can use the rules of procedure (such as requiring documents to be produced) to delay or defend against the action. Most Tempe homeowners facing Trustee Sale foreclosure proceedings don’t have these built-in procedural rules available for them to work with.

This well intentioned experience has provided a reminder to all of us involved in Tempe Real Estate transactions to make sure we get our legal and tax information from qualified professionals.

If you have further questions regarding Tempe foreclosures please contact one of my two legal watchdogs.

The Obama Presidency and the Real Estate Market

Friday, November 21st, 2008

My Real Estate Wish List for President-Elect Obama

1. Get the foreclosures off the real estate market. One of the major factors depressing the Real Estate market is the sheer number of foreclosures being dumped on the housing market by banks, which is also happening right here in Tempe, AZ. If the new administration can find a way take the foreclosures off the real estate market (by covering monthly mortgage payments for the banks, putting people back to work shoring up and maintaining these properties, then bringing them back onto the housing market slowly) — this would have an immediate impact on the supply and demand of the Real Estate market and average home prices would quickly recover. Tempe’s communities and local real estate market would greatly benefit from removing these foreclosures off the housing market.

In time, these foreclosed homes could sell for more than they are listed at now.  (Sheila Bair, head of the FDIC, was reported to be strongly advocating government intervention to help refinance mortgages threatened with foreclosure.)

2. Help first-time home buyers get back in the housing market. I would defer to my colleagues in the lending industry to come up with a solution although I would imagine that the appropriate carrot and stick for helping first-time home buyers could be provided by the administration. This would start the engine cranking. First-time home buyers would get back in the market and those who are trying to sell their homes could move up the Real Estate ladder to bigger and more expensive new homes.

3. Credit those who are making the community Green. Provide credit opportunities for homeowners and builders working to make their homes greener and more energy efficient. This could be an economic engine with far-reaching effects for both the construction industry and the planet.

The Impact of Obama as President-Elect

The impact on the economy in general will be positive. There will definitely be an international financial market recovery spurred by the popularity of Obama abroad that should impact our own financial markets. This breath of fresh air and the ensuing political honeymoon will be favorable for all aspects of the economy until the tough decisions and real belt tightening have a chance to work. By the New Year, I believe we will see some immediate positive impacts occurring in the Real Estate market … so get ready to act quickly if you want to ride the wave.

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  • Avg. Sales Price: $186,013

  • Avg. Days on Market: 118

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