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Sandy Goodsell
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    Years of Experience: 9

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Posts Tagged ‘Central Oregon Homes for Sale’

All I Want to Do is Buy a House!

Thursday, December 16th, 2010

All I Want to Do is Buy a House!

Published on Wednesday, December 1, 2010 by J. Mario Preza CRB

There was a time not long ago when it seemed as simple as a desire to buy a house.  Sure you still had to apply for a loan, but that seemed to be a breeze, even it the person didn’t have “it” all together, e.g., many lenders “bent” the rules a little here and a lot there — remember? 

Well, now with all that has happened with all this mortgage mess, the foreclosures, the “underwater” homes, essential, the bursting of the proverbial housing bubble, this has done a 180 degree turn, and to buy a house nowadays you have to be ready to show the lender “the money,” literally.

I have had to explain the procedures time and again to buyers who keep reminding me that this isn’t the way they did it just a few years ago.  The odd thing about these constant reminders is that people who bought a few years back seem to have grown used to just having the paperwork to sign, and are a bit miffed by the simple suggestion that they need to provide proof of just about everything. 

“Why do I have to do that?” came back a question from a reluctant buyer not long ago.  Well, the rules to buy a house have gone back to the “normal” way it once was.  In other words, you have to show the bank all that you say, and then, you have to be able to prove as much, e.g., where is your money for the down payment, why you have so many inquiries on your otherwise perfect (780 fico) credit report, or why your salary checks (stubs) have any discrepancy — oh, and let’s not forget that your w-2′s and 1040′s have to be “audited” too!

These requirements are nothing new.  As a matter of fact many of these same requirements were in place before, albeit relaxed because everyone wanted to make a deal, and the deal-makers (the lenders), wanted the loans to pass certain audits to be able to package them into mortgage-backed securities that someone else (investors) would be buying/investing in.  Well, that pool of investors virtually dried up, and now the only game in town is a pseudo-governmental secondary market, and this one is checking all the paperwork, and making sure the “i’s” are dotted and the “t’s” crossed — literally.

So, you want to buy a house?  The best thing you could do, as a buyer, is to be ready, willing and ABLE.  And this means having the money in the bank — you ought to have at a minimum a 3.5% of the purchase price for the down payment (for FHA program), plus another 3% of the same purchase price for the expected closing costs.  Sure you will be able to negotiate many things, and in some cases “Homepath” sales, you might even get your closing costs paid (credited), and some bonuses if you close during some of their promotional periods.  But, don’t be too surprised if you have to have everything “squeaky clean” in regards to how you provide your details and the paperwork to support it.

Buying a house isn’t any more complicated than it once was, it is now more rigidly reviewed, so, be prepared to give as much as the lender wants, wait as long as the lender takes, and work with all that is put on you to do.  You want their money to buy; you now have to play by their new rules.  The flip side is that you’ll get fantastic values and the best interest rates available for mortgages.  So, don’t fret, just grin and bear it, oh, and put it in perspective – you’ll buy the house you can afford and enjoy for years to come!

Now Could Be THE Time to Buy a Home

Tuesday, November 30th, 2010

Sisters, Oregon:  The old adage “There’s no time like the present” might not first come to mind when looking at today’s national housing market. But according to Sandy Goodsell of the RE/MAX Town & Country these homespun words of wisdom are quite appropriate when a closer look is given to individual local markets across the country. Goodsell points out these favorable factors that can contribute to making this, for many consumers, a most opportune time to buy a home:

  • Inventory is up. When the market is hot, new listings can’t replenish the supply of homes fast enough, and that works in the sellers’ favor. In today’s market, the opposite is true, providing more choices for buyers.
  • Sellers are motivated. Homes that in a hot market would have been snapped up in days are now lingering unsold for weeks, even months. Factor in bank-owned properties due to the recent and unfortunate spike in foreclosures and buyers find themselves in an advantageous negotiating position they haven’t enjoyed for years.
  • Interest rates are down. Recent cuts in the prime rate by the Federal Reserve have sparked drops in interest rates, which at the end of January were below 6 percent for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. While banks have tightened lending requirements in the wake of increased loan defaults, homebuyers with few credit problems qualifying to purchase a home they can afford should still have little trouble securing favorable financing terms.

What’s more, a market climate like this especially favors buyers who don’t need to sell an existing property before their purchase, buyers like first-timers and those looking for a second home. This tilts the scale even more towards many buyers.

But regardless of the situation, for every buyer, the key is to work with a real estate professional that knows the local market and specializes in buyer representation – like an agent who has earned the Accredited Buyer’s Representative (ABR®) designation.

Sandy Goodsell is one of more than 50,000 members of the Real Estate Buyer’s Agent Council (REBAC) of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®, who have attained the Accredited Buyer Representative (ABR®) designation. As the world’s largest association of real estate professionals focusing specifically on representing the real estate buyer, REBAC is “The Voice for Buyer Representation,” with more than 50,000 active real estate professional members of the organization throughout the world.

QE (Quantitative Easing)

Thursday, November 11th, 2010

Provided by Mitch Wilcox
Mortgage Consultant
Bank of Oregon

 Here is one of the best explanations of QE…..

 References to QE (Quantitative Easing), and “QE2″ (the 2nd round of QE; the Fed has already used “QE1.”) have been made in financial reports via media sources. What is QE? Why does it matter to us as consumers? Why is this a hot topic?

First, a couple of definitions specific to the financial markets:

Quantitative: A specific amount of money being created. Easing: Reducing pressure on Banks and other financial institutions.

Ordinarily, the central bank (The FOMC, “The Fed”) uses its control of interest rates, or sometimes reserve requirements, to indirectly influence the supply of money. In some situations, such as very low inflation or deflation, setting a low interest rate is not enough to maintain the level of money supply, or to stimulate the economy as desired by the central bank,  so quantitative easing is employed to further boost the amount of money in the financial system. This is often considered a “last resort” to increase the money supply with the overall goal of stimulating the economy.

Here’s how it works: 

  1. The first step is for The Fed to “create more money” by crediting its own account. This money is literally created out of nothing by electronically crediting the Fed account.  The Fed can then use these funds to buy investments such as corporate and government bonds, agency debt, and mortgage backed securities (MBS) from financial firms such as banks, insurance companies, pension funds, and other financial institutions.
  2. These asset purchases create excess capital reserves for these financial institutions for lending and investment use via additional account deposits.
  3. The increased money supply is designed to stimulate lending and the economy overall.

Does it work?

The risks:

  1. Hyper-inflation could result if QE is more effective than desired.
  2. It may be that QE is not effective enough if banks sit on the capital and do not lend.

Has QE been used before? Was it effective?

The US, UK, Japan and the Eurozone have all implemented QE in one form or another over many years, with mixed results. For certain The Fed feels it has to do something, and the economic stimulus tool belt is getting smaller every day.

Why QE2?

The first round of QE employed by The Fed had limited success. While interest rates remain at historical lows and some mortgage refinance activity is occurring, The Fed apparently wishes to drive rate down a bit more. Whether this actually happens remains to be seen. The equities market investors (stocks mostly) will have their say in this as a flight to equities could occur if the strategy is not effective. This would result in higher MBS yields which of course raises mortgage rates; MBS managers would need to get those investors back with higher yields. And the beat goes on….

Foreclosure market is stalling and confusion is rising!

Sunday, October 17th, 2010

Foreclosure update:  Friday, October 15, 2010         RE/MAX  Regional Representative Joe Bush

The foreclosure market is stalling and confusion is rising in the wake of the recent suspensions of foreclosures by four major mortgage servicers. Last Friday, Bank of America announced it would suspend foreclose sales in all 50 states, which follows the bank’s earlier suspension of tens of thousands of foreclosures in the states that handle foreclosures through the court system, a move also taken by GMAC Home Mortgage, Inc., Ally Financial Inc., and J.P. Mortgage Chase & Co.’s home-loan unit. While it’s unclear how long the foreclosure market will be stalled, economists are warning that the delays are bad for housing. The uncertainties in the market will likely scare buyers away from foreclosed homes, which represent a big chunk of current sales.

So the mortgage market is in disarray, we all knew that. How long will the chaos last? How will this shake out in the housing market? Should we brace for an even-longer housing bust? ―At the end of the day, the U.S. can’t afford for this to go too far, says Gregory Watson of McKinley Partners, a development company that buys foreclosed homes. He goes on to give three potential outcomes for this ―Foreclosures gone wild. 1-In the best case scenario, the issues are simply technical, the situation is resolved and the foreclosure process continues. Many believe housing won’t recover until the glut of foreclosed homes clears the market. 2-In the medium-case scenario, litigation ensues and the matter takes years to sort out. That will inflict more pain onto the already troubled housing market. 3-In the worst case, the issues become a ―systemic problem that grinds the mortgage market to a halt and title insurers refuse to insure mortgages involving existing homes. In other words, housing Armageddon. ―It would be devastating for the resale market if this robo-signer issue spiraled out of control, Watson says.

U.S. Existing Home Sales Hit Record Lows in July

Sunday, August 29th, 2010

U.S. existing home sales for July dropped 27.2% from June, bringing sales to an annualized rate of 3.83 million (down from 5.26 million in June) – the lowest level since 1999, according to a National Association of Realtors report released today. The months supply of inventory jumped from 8.9 in June to 12.5 in July.

“After the homebuyer tax credit deadline, contract signings have been notably lower, and a pause period for home sales is likely to last through September,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. ”Thanks to the homebuyer tax credit, home values have been stable for the past 18 months despite heavy job losses.”

National median sales prices fell slightly to $182,600 down 0.6% from June.

Note: The July RE/MAX National Housing Report on 54 metro areas, confirms the NAR findings, with a 30% drop in sales from June, a 27% drop from last year, and a 1.3% increase in prices from 2009.

July 2010 Existing Home Sales            
  July 2010  June 2010 1 Mo Diff  July 2009 1 Yr Diff
National 3.83M 5.26M -27.2% 5.14M -25.5%
           
Northeast 620K 960K -29.5% 889K -30.3%
Midwest 800K 1.23M -35% 1.19M -33.3%
South 1.54M 2.01M -22.6% 1.92M -19.8%
West 870K 1.17M -25% 1.13M -23%

All Housing Types:
1. July Inventory: 3.98M, +2.5% from June, -12.9% from July 2009 
2. Months Supply: 12.5 months, up from 8.9 months in June

July Practitioner Survey:
1. Distressed properties made up 32% of all sales (unchanged from June)
2. First-time buyers purchased 38% of all homes sold (down from 43% in June)
3. Investors accounted for 19% of all sales (up from 13% in June)
4. All-cash deals were 30% (up from 24% in June)

Mortgage Interest Rates:
1. July 2010 = 4.56% (July 2009 = 5.22%)
2. June 2010 = 4.74%
3. May 2010 = 4.89%
(National average commitment rate from Freddie Mac)

Updated 8/24/10

“Know Your Options.com” Fannie Mae’s new Website

Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010

It’s been a long and challenging series of events for many in these times we live in. It’s rare to find legitimate and credible sources of information for consumers that can be relied upon.

Today, Fannie Mae has launched a website called “Know Your Options.com” that aims to be a source of quality information. Please feel free to explore, take advantage of, and pass along to your clients and associates the following link that should be a good source of information for those that most require it. Per Fannie, their goal is:

Identifying accurate sources of information and finding the right answers can be a difficult challenge for homeowners facing hardship. That’s why our goal in creating KnowYourOptions.com was to provide distressed homeowners with a one-stop shop for easy to understand, consumer-friendly information on the range of options for avoiding foreclosures, from refinancing to repayment plans, forbearance, short sales, and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure.

As always, I am happy to assist you and your clients; please feel free to contact me any time. Here’s the link:

http://www.knowyouroptions.com

Information provided by Mitch Wilcox
Mortgage Consultant
Bank of Oregon

The Uncertain Return to Normal Times in Real Estate

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

Real Trends – June 2010

COMMENTARY

The Uncertain Return to Normal Times

After years of hearing how home prices are plummeting and foreclosures are mounting, consumers want to feel hopeful about the housing market — but maybe they’re being too optimistic.

In a presentation to the National Association of Real Estate Editors in Austin, Texas Stan Humphries, Zillow.com’s chief economist, pointed to four myths he said consumers are latching onto as they try to make sense of recent housing statistics.

The four myths:

1. The housing recession is over. It’s not, Humphries said. He estimates the bottom in home prices won’t come until the third quarter, at least from a national perspective. Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae, agreed with that estimation.

2. After markets hit bottom, prices will rebound to boom levels. Not going to happen, at least for a while, Humphries said. “Once we hit bottom, the bottom is going to be a long and flat affair across the markets,” he said. “What we’re going to see once we hit bottom is the second phase of the housing recession… that second phase is one of being flat.”

3. The worst of the foreclosure mess is behind us. More wishful thinking, according to Humphries. He estimates foreclosures will peak later this year, then remain elevated for a while. Rick Sharga, senior vice president of RealtyTrac, an online marketplace for foreclosure properties, said he doesn’t envision foreclosure activity stabilizing until late 2011.

4. The tax credits saved the housing market. With or without a tax credit, those who bought would have done so anyway, Humphries said. “The biggest impact [in home sales] we believe were low prices… low interest rates and the unsung factor here is the ramped up lending by the Federal Housing Administration.”

Snap survey shows declines in most markets in May

Comment on the future

I recall that in the first quarter of 2010 there was consensus among leading economists that rates would rise after the Fed/Treasury stopped buying mortgage backed securities. Without these purchases rates might rise to 6 percent or higher. So today, we have sub-5 percent mortgages. What happened?

Europe happened. The debt crisis evidently drove many in the world to once again park their money in U.S. debt instruments, raising the supply of capital and lowering its costs. So, why did the smartest people in the world not know this was happening only three to four months before it exploded to the short term benefit of American money supply?

And how does it affect our view of the next six months or year or three years as far as forecasting the housing market? Well it should give all pause as to just how well anyone can predict what will happen to housing and mortgage markets. So it is with our business. The Winter Soldiers are pursuing that time honored tradition of “hoping for the best and preparing for the worst.” It is likely we have seen the “worst” that housing has to offer. It is likely that housing is in the intermediate stage of the birth of a solid rebound. But May retail sales were totally unexpected from all accounts and the declines in May written contracts are another sign that continues to flash ‘yellow’ – proceed with caution. That is likely the best course of action at this time.

Surge in Pending Home Sales Continues

Thursday, June 3rd, 2010

Pending home sales have risen for three consecutive months, reflecting the broad impact of the home buyer tax credit and favorable housing affordability conditions, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator, rose 6.0 percent to 110.9 based on contracts signed in April, from an upwardly revised 104.6 in March, and is 22.4 percent higher than April 2009 when it was 90.6. That follows gains of 7.1 percent in March and 8.3 percent in February.

Pending home sales are at the highest level since last October when the index reached 112.4 and first-time buyers were rushing to beat the initial deadline for the tax credit. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which usually occur with a lag time of one or two months.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said this second round of surging sales from the tax credit extension looks as strong as the original tax credit. “There were concerns that only a small pool of buyers were left to take advantage of the tax credit extension. But evidently the tax stimulus, combined with improved consumer confidence and low mortgage interest rates, are contributing to surging sales,” he said. “The housing market has to get back on its own feet and now appears to be in a good position to return to sustainable levels even without government stimulus, provided the economy continues to add jobs.”

NAR expects a net of 1 million additional jobs in the second half of this year and about 2 million in 2011.

“The home buyer tax credit brought close to 1 million additional buyers into the market, which is now helping the trade-up market and has significantly improved the inventory situation. This stabilized home prices more quickly and has preserved about $900 billion in home equity; in turn, that is keeping additional households from going underwater and risking foreclosure,” Yun said.

Pending Home Sales Index by region:

  • Northeast: jumped 29.5 percent to 97.9 in April and is 24.5 percent above a year ago.
  • Midwest: rose 4.1 percent to 104.2 and is 17.9 percent above April 2009.
  • South: slipped 0.6 percent to an index of 123.9, but is 31.3 percent higher than a year ago.
  • West: increased 7.5 percent to 107.9 and is 12.0 percent higher than April 2009.

“A big concern surfacing recently is insufficient time to close the deal at the settlement table. Under normal circumstances, two months would be enough time from contract signing to settlement date,” Yun said. “However, the recent housing cycle has brought long delays related to the short sales approval process by banks, and from ongoing appraisal issues.”

He added that there could be a sizable number of home buyers who responded to tax credit incentives, but may encounter problems meeting the settlement deadline by June 30. Because of these market challenges, NAR has asked Congress to provide flexibility on the deadline for closing.

Source: NAR

Bend Home Price Fall Worst in U.S. – So Now a ‘Steal’?

Wednesday, May 26th, 2010

Bend Tops U.S. News’ ‘Retirement Property Steals’

By Barney Lerten, KTVZ.COM

BEND, Ore. — Bend-area housing prices plummeted more than 23 percent over the past year, the worst drop of any metro area in the nation, federal officials said Tuesday – but that sharp decline also has put Bend at the top of a magazine’s new list of “retirement property steals.”

The Federal Housing Finance Agency data ranks the Bend metro area (which actually includes all of Deschutes County) at the bottom, No. 301 spot of all 301 areas ranked, for the year ended March 31 – that despite a 4 percent fall in the first quarter of this year that was far from the nation’s worst.

Bend-area home prices have depreciated 7.75 percent over the past five years, the agency said – a mild decline for that time frame, compared to, say, No. 298, the Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev. area where home prices have plunged more than 42 percent over the 5-year period.

Nationwide, home prices fell just 1.9 percent in the first quarter of the year and 3.1 percent from a year ago. FHFA’s seasonally adjusted monthly index for March was up 0.3 percent.

Oregon ranked 46th of 50 states in home-price appreciation, dropping 8.64 percent over the past year, 2.72 percent for the first quarter. But they were up 7.35 percent from five years ago – and 176 percent since 1991.

The magazine U.S. News & World Report noted, “Although the financial crisis has hammered retirement accounts, it has also converted a number of popular retirement destinations into bargains for home buyers.”

The magazine used “price-to-income ratio” data from Moody’s Analytics for 384 metro areas, calling it “a key yardstick of housing affordability.”

For example, a market with a price-to-income ratio of 2.5 has median-priced homes selling for 2.5 times average household incomes.

U.S. News noted that “stiff demand from second-home buyers helped nearly double median home prices in lovely Bend, Ore., between 1999 and 2006.”

“But the subsequent real estate collapse has dragged the area’s price-to-income ratio from 3.4 in the third quarter of 2006 to 1.7 in the fourth quarter of 2009,” it said.

The magazine quoted Lester Friedman, president-elect of the Central Oregon Association of Realtors, as saying that jump in affordability makes retirement property in Bend particularly attractive today.

“Central Oregon has always been a place where people came to get away,” Friedman told U.S. News. “And of course, that is kind of the definition of retirement.”

He noted the wide variety of activities to keep seniors in Bend busy year-round, from hiking to skiing to fishing and volunteering.

“We have wonderful college facilities, so continuing education is easy,” Friedman said. “You name it, we’ve got it.”

Other areas atop the “Retirement Steals” list include Las Vegas, Phoenix, Napa, Calif. and Fayetteville, Ark

“Homeowners—Listen Up” e-mail is FALSE

Sunday, May 9th, 2010

The following information is from an internal communications bulletin from the National Association of REALTORS:

Washington, D.C. (April 29, 2010) – Two e-mail chains have circulated among members and are generating a lot of confusion in the Realtor®  ranks.  One claims that pending legislation in the Senate would require an energy license or retrofit for home sales, the other that the recently passed health care bill contains a 4.0 percent “transfer tax” on homes sales. Both are wrong.

Here’s the real skinny on both.  And PLEASE pass on to your members as quickly as possible:

“Homeowners—Listen Up” e-mail:

This e-mail is inaccurate. There is no requirement in H.R. 2454, The American Clean Energy & Security Act, that home sellers obtain either a license or energy audit or make energy retrofits before they can sell their home. The legislation, earlier passed by the House, is pending in the Senate.

Here are the two REAL provisions in the bill: 

  • Section 202 (Building Retrofit Program) would offer matching grants for home improvements.  State government would administer the program, which is voluntary and available to all property owners.
  • Section 204 (Building Energy Performance Labeling Program) would apply to new construction only and prohibit time-of-sale labeling.  The original energy audit and MLS listing provisions were deleted as the result of NAR insistence; existing real estate was excluded from the bill’s requirements.
Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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