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Ron Milligan
Realtor

    CDPE - Certified Distressed Property Expert

Direct: (503) 484-3166

Office: 503-282-4000



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RE/MAX Signature Properties
2717 NE Broadway
Portland, OR
503-282-4000


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Posts Tagged ‘Real Estate’

Portland Real Estate Market Statistics for November 2010

Tuesday, December 28th, 2010

 

RMLS released their market statistics from November, and again I’m pleased by what I’m seeing.  What I’ve been seeing has been reflected in my and some of my colleagues business for this time of year.  November and December are typically supposed to be down months for Realtors, and these past couple of months have been anything but that. 

The number of closed sales was down a considerable amount from November of 2009.  November 30th was the initial deadline for the first time home buyer tax credit – so, no surprise there.  The number of pending sales was up by 7.4% from last year though, which is very good in my book and indicates continued and increasing activity. 

The average and median sale prices were down from the previous month by $4900 and $500 respectively.  The inventory in months decreased from 10.7 to 10.2 months – not a big change but a positive one, none the less. 

Read below for the statistical highlights from RMLS’s publication, “Market Action,” and call me if you would like a market analysis of your neighborhood and home.  I’m happy to oblige. 

      -Ron-

November Residential Highlights

 

The Portland Metro area market continued to show decreases in activity in November. However, while closed sales were the lowest since February of this year, they decreased by only 1% from the previous month. Pending sales were also higher than November of the past two years.

Closed sales were down 28.7% compared to November 2009, but pending sales were up 7.4%. New listings dipped down 1%.

Comparing the previous month of October 2010 with November 2010 shows closed sales decreased from 1,292 to 1,279 (-1%). Additionally, pending sales fell from 1,632 to 1,426 (-12.6%), and new listings dropped from 3,119 to 2,437 (-20.7%).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 13,103 active residential listings would last approximately 10.2 months. Inventory in November is the lowest it has been since June of this year.

Year-to-Date

When comparing January- November 2010 with the same period in 2009, closed sales increased 0.2%. Pending sales were 2.6% lower, but new listings were up 3.7%.

Sale Prices

The average sale price for November 2010 declined 0.5% compared to November 2009. The median sale price also fell 2.5%. On a month-to-month basis, comparing October 2010 to November 2010, the average sale price went down from $276,800 to $271,900 (-1.8%) and the median sale price also dropped from $233,500 to $233,000 (-0.2%). This marks the third straight month average sale prices have fallen.

Price Reduction on Alameda Ridge Home

Tuesday, December 7th, 2010

There was a $24,000 price reduction on my listing at 3124 NE Fremont ST.  This is a super price for this very nice Alameda Ridge Home.  Click on the link for more information and give me a call to set up a showing! 

      -Ron-

Some Positive Real Estate Market News

Thursday, December 2nd, 2010

On the tail of that crumby article in the Oregonian yesterday (which looks to have been partially based on Case-Shiller market stats from September – way to be on top of it!), the Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch.com reported that a gauge of pending home sales was up 10.4% in October.  Read more here: Pending U.S. home sales jump 10.4% in October.

This information probably doesn’t indicate that we’ll see a month-to-month increase in pending sales for our market.  I think that we’ll see a modest gain or we’ll at least hold the line in our stats for pending and closed sales.  However, this would be really positive news during a month when most Realtors go into holiday mode because market activity has fallen off.  We’re not supposed to be seeing sustained activity (or even gains!) at this time of year. 

      -Ron-

Portland Real Estate Market Statistics for September

Wednesday, October 20th, 2010

Our RMLS (Regional Multiple Listing Service) released their “Market Action” report for August (see the excerpt below).  This report contains the full gambit of statistical highlights for Portland’s real estate market for a given month, and these are the stats that the Oregonian and other news organizations base their local monthly market reports on.

By themselves, the numbers look pretty dismal.  I try to ignore the 2009 to 2010 comparisons as last year we were dealing with government stimulated activity due to the first time home buyer tax credit. 

The month-to-month comparisons don’t look so bad, though.  When looking at the stats, keep in mind that we always see a decrease in activity toward the end of August – beginning of September as a lot of buyers and sellers are distracted with getting kids back to school.  We typically get a bump in business from the latter half of September through October – prior to the market going into hibernation for the winter. 

Looking Forward to Next Month

Next month I’m expecting to see a decrease in the number of closed sales (in October), but I think that we’ll see an increase in the month-to-month stats for pending sales, which will translate into a nice number of closings in November.  No one can really predict what we’ll see when it comes to the average sale price.  That number seems to bounce around from month to month.  On the whole, our current average sale price is about where it was during the summer of 2005. 

Over the past three weeks, I’ve been feeling an increase in activity in my own business and seeing the same in my colleague’s.  I’ve also been seeing a number of listings leave the “for sale” market and enter the “for rent” market.  This should take some pressure off the high inventory of houses.  Eventually those houses will be back on the market but only when things turn around again. 

Great Opportunities

There are a fair number of foreclosures out there and some great deals to be had – especially when you take into consideration the really low interest rates we have right now.  Our market is working through a whole mess of bad loans and foreclosures but eventually they’ll be gone.  In the mean time, keep in mind that smart real estate is not just about the price of the house you buy.  It’s also about the cost of the money you use to purchase that house.  Interest rates make a huge difference in your mortgage payments and they’re currently at near record lows!

 

 From RMLS “Market Action” Septermber 2010

“September Residential Highlights

Comparing September 2010 to September 2009, closed sales decreased by 22.3%. Pending sales and new listings also fell by 30.7% and 1.4%, respectively. See residential highlights table below.

A comparison of September 2010 with the previous month, August 2010, shows closed sales increased by 1.3% (1,399 v. 1,381). However, pending sales dropped by 6.2% (1,584 v. 1,688), and new listings fell by 7.3% (3,549 v. 3,829).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 14,714 active residential listings would last approximately 10.5 months.

Sale Prices

The average sale price for September 2010 declined 3.5% compared to September 2009. The

median sale price also fell 0.6%.

On a month-to-month basis, comparing September 2010 to August 2010, the average sale

price went down 6.5% ($279,900 v. $299,300) and the median sale price also dropped 4% ($240,000 v. $250,000).

Third Quarter Report

In a comparison of the third quarter of 2010 to the same quarter of 2009, closed sales dropped 24.7% (4,340 v. 5,762) and pending sales also fell 26.5% (4,725 v. 6,428). However, new listings increased by 1.2% (11,582 v. 11,448).”

Price Reduced – Great Goose Hollow Condo

Sunday, October 17th, 2010

I can’t believe that this condo hasn’t sold yet!   This is a great price on a versatile, close-in condo.  Now priced at only $189,900, this condo has been reduced by over $75,000!! 

You couldn’t ask for more for this money:

      1. A block form the Goose Hollow MAX Station.

      2.  Great floor plan with 2 bedrooms.

      3.  Deeded parking in a secure garage. 

      4.  Large balcony.

      Click below for more pictures and information about this condo and then call me to set up a showing!  

Great Goose Hollow Condo

 

Real Estate Scam – Icelander Seeks Real Estate in Portland

Thursday, October 14th, 2010

I get daily e-mails from scammers who target Realtors and I generally ignore them.  Sometimes I’ll read through one of their e-mails in order to figure out what the scammers are up to and how they planning on walking off with their financial prize.  Sometimes I just like reading the sob story.

About 5 years ago I received an e-mail that caught my eye.  This one was from Dr. Jóhannes Sveinbjörnsson , a millionaire from Iceland who was looking to spend about $2,000,000 on a property in Portland.  This message made me laugh because two of the main criteria for this property is that it had to have a pool and Dr. Sveinbjörnsson didn’t want to be in a neighborhood with any ethnic minorities.  I assumed that (being a foreigner) Dr. Sveinbjörnsson wasn’t acquainted with our US Fair Housing laws and Portland’s character.

I decided to do a google search to see if any one had flagged the scam already, but when I googled the good doctor, the only thing I found was that he is a member of the Nordic Association of Agricultural Scientists and his specialty is in dairy cow milk production.  The poor guy had his name hijacked but I couldn’t find any contact information to let him know – not that there’s a whole lot that he could do about it anyway.  So, I left it at that and deleted the message.  Little did I know that I had come across the Aaron Spelling of real estate scams.   

Since then, I’ve received 1 or 2 messages from Dr. Sveinbjörnsson every year.  Each letter builds on the previous message and fleshes out more and more of the details.  I’ve received follow up letters from Johannes and his barrister “Cole Rothfords” in London.  I’ve received copies of his banks statement from an English bank showing that he has over 10,000,000 British pounds in liquid assets.  At one point, Dr. Svendborgesson’s wife started writing me about her desire to move to “my area”.  Unfortunately, she was battling an illness which kept her from travelling to Portland to look at property.  A lot of her time was taken up with trips to Japan for experimental medical treatments. 

This week I received a letter from the Sveinbjörnsson’s son, letting me know that his mother recently passed away from “the big C” [sic] not allowing our transaction to go smoothly.  I’m not sure how I missed it, but Dr. Sveinbjörnsson apparently passed away as well.  [These letters aren’t very well written.]  However, Martins (their son) is ready to complete the transaction that his father and mother started with me in order to complete his mother’s legacy, which he refuses to let die.  Martins wishes to continue with the purchase of the same property, the purpose of which was “for orphanage and motherless babies”.  All I need to do is to answer the e-mail and the barrister, Cole Rothfords, will help me finish things up. 

I’ve never once answered any of these messages but I’m pretty sure I know what the scam is.  Five years later, I still haven’t found any warnings on the internet about this scam.  Because of that, I can’t imagine that it’s very successful.  I love the idea of this scammer sitting somewhere abroad and writing the next installment of the story just for me. 

I think that the scam would involve Martins sending me a $200,000 earnest money check for the purchase of a $2,000,000 property.  I expect they’ll want the money to be deposited in our office’s escrow account.  Before the check has time to clear, the barrister, Mr. Rothfords, will contact me and tell me that the money was sent improperly and that we need to wire the money back ASAP so that they can re-send the money the correct way.  They would then take the money from the wire and run, while their check bounces.  

This is a pretty obvious scam, and I don’t expect anyone would fall for it.  There are, however, a lot of clever sorts out there preying on people who are in trouble with their mortgages, and they’re using some pretty slick schemes.  If you know someone who is in trouble with their home, please give them my name.  Consultations are always free and confidential.

Lightning Fast Short Sale Approval

Friday, October 8th, 2010

 

      My buyers wrote an offer on a short sale last weekend.  We found a solid house in the St Johns area just a block or two off of the shopping strip. 

      The listing price was pre-approved by the bank for short sale approval and my clients made their offer in line with what the bank was willing to accept (already a really good deal). 

       Before we sent off the offer, I had a conversation with client in order to set realistic  expectations for how long it might take before the bank gave us official approval and we could move forward with the transaction (anywhere 1 to 6 months). 

       My clients and I were completely surprised to have bank approval in our hands in a day and a half.  This isn’t typical for short sales.  We were dealing with a regional bank and the listing agent had a direct line with the bank’s negotiator in Portland. 

      On the whole, I would say that lots of banks are getting more organized and better at handling short sales, which is good considering the alternative! 

     FYI, I’m a CDPE (Certified Distresses Property Expert) and and short sale specialist.  If you have any questions about short sales or underwater properties, please give me a call.  I’m happy to share what I know. 

     -Ron-

Sold! Beaumont – Wilshire Home

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

 

I’m happy to report that we closed today on this great home in Portland’s Beaumont – Wilshire neighborhood.

We had an offer from some pretty motivated buyers within 3 days of being on the market.  The property ended up selling for $4000 over the asking price with the sellers contributing a little over a $1000 toward the buyer’s closing costs for some repairs.  The final purchase price was $464,000. 

Classic 50′s Ranch In Bridlemile Neighborhood – Price Reduction and Open House

Wednesday, September 22nd, 2010

The sellers of this great ranch home just dropped the asking price by over $20,000.  Now priced at $349,000, this house is a steal!  Click here for more information about his property. 

I’ll be holding this home open this Sunday (9/26) from noon until 2:00pm.  Feel free to stop by and take a look then or give me a call to set up a showing at a time that works better for you. 

4736 SW 42ND AVE  -  Portland Oregon 97221

Portland’s Real Estate Market Statistics for August 2010

Thursday, September 16th, 2010

 

Below is Portland’s Regional Multiple Listing Service’s (RMLS) “Market Action”, their monthly report on real estate statistics.   

There are a few pretty ugly statistics in the report, specifically when comparing the number of pending and closed transactions from August 2009 to August 2010.  While looking at these stats, keep in mind that in 2009 we were anticipating the (first) expiration of the first time home buyer tax credit.  Transactions needed to close by the end of November in order for the home buyer to receive the credit.  That is, buyers needed to have a property under contract by the end of September in order to be certain to close by the deadline.  For short sales, they needed to be under contract much earlier.  Obviously, without that incentive, our current numbers are going to be down.

A Little Encouragement

When you compare August of this year to the previous month, the numbers aren’t so bad.  The median and average sale prices are both up.  Most importantly (in my book), is that the number of pending transactions is up.  Hopefully, that’ll lead to more closed transactions this month.

There are a lot of distressed properties out there.   On the lower end of the price range, I’ve been showing a lot of houses (many of them foreclosures) that I think would have a hard time qualifying for financing without significant repairs.  That makes them a tough sell to buyers looking in that price range.  On the other hand, I listed a house in the Beaumont neighborhood that was beautifully maintained and priced right.  In that situation, we had close to 100 people come through the open house and had an offer within 3 days.  If you need to sell, it can be done! 

Interest rates are currently so low that they’re almost comical.  If you’ve got good credit, you might be able to qualify for an FHA 30 year fixed with a interest rate of 4.25% or a 15 year fixed for 3.5%.  I keep telling my buyers that purchasing property is not just about the price of the property.  It’s also about the cost of the money you use to purchase your real estate.  Rates may not get any better than this!

     -Ron-

“August Residential Highlights

 A comparison of sales activity in the Portland metro area in August 2010 with August 2009, shows that closed sales decreased 25%. Pending sales also dropped 21.7%, while new listings rose 1.3%. See residential highlights table below. On a month-to-month basis, when comparing August 2010 to July 2010, closed sales fell 2.2% (1,381 v. 1,412), while pending sales grew 3.6% (1,688 v. 1,629). New listings also fell 5% (3,829 v. 4,029).  At the month’s rate of sales, the 15,200 active residential listings would last approximately 11 months.

 

Sale Prices

The average sale price for August 2010 increased 1% compared to August 2009, while the median sale price stayed the same.

 When comparing August 2010 to the month prior, July 2010, the average sale price increased 0.8% ($299,300 v. $297,000) and the median sale price also went up 1.6% ($250,000 v. $246,000).

 

Year-to-Date

Increases are seen when comparing January-August 2010 with the same period in 2009.

Closed sales increased 14.7%. Pending sales grew 4% and new listings grew 6%.”

 

 

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: $289,800

  • Avg. Days on Market: 121

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