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Ron Milligan
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    CDPE - Certified Distressed Property Expert

Direct: (503) 484-3166

Office: 503-282-4000



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Portland, OR
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Posts Tagged ‘Real Estate’

Portland’s Pending Sales Increase 45% in May!!

Thursday, June 16th, 2011

Holy Heck! Do you remember how I’ve been saying that the year-to-year market stats have looked bad because we’ve been comparing this year to last year when we had the first time home buyer tax credit? Well, now we’ve got a STELLAR stat that supports this assumption.

The tax credit expired last year at the end of April. In order to get the credit, you had to have a property under contract by April 30th and you had until June 30th to get it closed.

What this means is that we’re still going to see a ton of “tax credit” sales from May and June of 2010 which will make the number of closed sales in May and June of this year pale by comparison (down 15% from May of ’10 to May of ’11). Where we start to see a difference, though, is in pending sales. When we compare pending sales from May of last year to May of this year, we see an increase of 45.1% and this give us a an un-inflated view of how our market is performing. There is a lot of real estate out there exchanging hands without the support of tax credits.

The year-to-year comparisons in average and median sale prices are down by 4.8% and 7.9 %, respectively, but we seem to be holding steady with the month-to-month numbers: down 1.8% for the average and up 0.1% for the median.

The inventory in months decreased from 7.2 months to 6.8 months, which is good. This is the amount of time that it would take to sell all the homes currently listed on the market, given the current rate of sales. Typically, 6 months of inventory is what we would call a balanced market: neither a buyer’s or seller’s market. To give you some perspective, in 2009 the inventory in months got as high as 19.2 months.

The thing to keep in mind is that the number of homes that went under contract in May of this year is more than May of last year or May of 2009. We’ve been having a pretty good Spring, all things considered.

Portland Area Market Statistics for April 2011

Tuesday, May 24th, 2011

The metro area RMLS stats showed us pretty much the same thing we saw in March except that the average and median sale prices increased by 2.4% and 2.3%, respectively. I’m always happy to see figures like that!

We’re still dealing with a rough comparison for April of 2011 to 2010 due to last year’s tax credits for new home buyers. Looking forward, though, if our market maintains its current momentum, we should see some better year-to-year comparisons toward July, by which time last year the credit had expired and the lion’s share of the first-timers had closed their deals.

Below is an excerpt from RMLS’s “Market Action” for April, 2011.

April Residential Highlights
While sales activity was down in April 2011 compared with April 2010, average and median sale prices increased compared with the previous month of March 2011.

Closed sales were down 17% in April 2011 compared to April 2010. Pending sales were down 33%, and new listings dropped 34.2%. See residential highlights table below.Comparing March 2011 with April 2011, closed sales dipped from 1,615 to 1,611 (-0.3%). Pending sales also decreased from 2,014 to 2,005 (-0.5%). New listings went up from 3,056 to 3,099 (1.4%).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,621 active residential listings would last about 7.2 months.

Sale Prices
Average sale price for April 2011 declined 5.2% compared to April 2010. Median sale price also fell 8.4%. See residential highlights table below.

Month to month, comparing March 2011 to April 2011, sale prices increased. Average sale price went up from $261,100 to $267,300 (2.4%) while median sale price also increased from $215,000 to $219,900 (2.3%).

Pending Home Sales Rise Again in March

Friday, April 29th, 2011

The following is an excerpt from the National Association of Realtor’s web site, realtor.org — more positive news for housing, nationally and in the Northwest. In my own business, it’s been a while since I wrote an offer for a buyer that didn’t end up being a multiple offer situation (for properties priced under $300,000). It’s Spring and we’re supposed to be busy now, but it feels like there is more activity right now than I would have hoped for, given our market 6-8 months ago.

-Ron-

Washington, DC, April 28, 2011

March saw another increase in pending home sales, with contract activity rising unevenly in six of the past nine months, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 5.1 percent to 94.1 in March from a downwardly revised 89.5 in February. The index is 11.4 percent below 106.2 in March 2010; however, activity was at elevated levels in March and April of 2010 to meet the contract deadline for the home buyer tax credit.

The data reflects contracts but not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said home sales activity has shown an uneven but notable improvement. “Since reaching a cyclical bottom last June, pending home sales have posted an overall gain of 24 percent and demonstrate the market is recovering on its own,” he said. “The index means modest near-term gains in existing-home sales are likely, which would be even stronger if tight mortgage lending criteria returned to normal, safe standards.”

The PHSI in the Northeast fell 3.2 percent to 63.4 in March and is 18.4 percent below March 2010. In the Midwest the index rose 3.0 percent in March to 83.5 but is 16.6 percent below a year ago. Pending home sales in the South jumped 10.3 percent to an index of 110.2 but are 10.5 percent below March 2010. In the West the index increased 3.1 percent to 103.7 but is 4.1 percent below a year ago.

“Based on the current uptrend with very favorable affordability conditions, rising apartment rents and ongoing job creation, existing-home sales should rise around 5 to 10 percent this year with sales growth of lower priced homes likely to outperform high-end homes. That means the price trend will reflect more homes sold in the lower price ranges,” Yun said.

“The good news is that recent home buyers are staying well within budget, leading to exceptionally low loan default rates among home buyers over the past two years,” Yun added.

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

# # #

*The Pending Home Sales Index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.

Great Home for Sale in SW Portland

Thursday, April 28th, 2011

YouTube Preview ImageCheck out this great property.  It’s located right next to the Mountain Park neighborhood of Lake Oswego in a very green setting.  The home sits on .8 acres and has fantastic English landscaping that provide for tons of privace and a feeling that you’re in the country rather than in the city.  It the location of this home makes getting to downtown a snap (15 minute drive) and you can get to New Seasons in 5 minutes flat.  Check out the video I made for the listing and stop by the OPEN HOUSE this Sunday (5/1) from 1-3.  Click here to find out more about this great house:  www.3542swvestast.com

3542 SW Vesta ST (Portland)
2800 sqft
4 Bedrooms
2 Bathrooms (plus another bathroom-plumbed and wired but not yet finished). 
Offered at $480,000.

Please call to set up a showing!

Good News from NAR

Friday, April 22nd, 2011

Check out the quote below that I pulled from a National Assocaition of Realtors newsletter.  NAR can be a little optimistic at times, but the increase in activity over the past 8 months has been felt locally and shown nationally. 

      -Ron-

“Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, expects the improving sales pattern to continue. “Existing-home sales have risen in six of the past eight months, so we’re clearly on a recovery path,” he said. “With rising jobs and excellent affordability conditions, we project moderate improvements into 2012, but not every month will show a gain – primarily because some buyers are finding it too difficult to obtain a mortgage. For those fortunate enough to qualify for financing, monthly mortgage payments as a percent of income have been at record lows.”

March 2011 Market Statistics for Portland Metro

Friday, April 15th, 2011

Holy Cow!  These are some pretty big numbers.  The RMLS released their market stats today, and I liked what I’m seeing.    

The March 2010 to March 2011 comparisons looked pretty rough, but expected.  Last year at this time we were headed toward the deadline of the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.  This year, we’re just looking at nice market activity. 

I’m really impressed by the jump in the month-to-month numbers, though.  Comparing March to the previous month, we saw a 50% increase in the number of closed sales, a 26% increase in the number of pending transactions, a 3.8 month decrease in the inventory of listings and a jump in the average sale price from $244,500 to $261,100.  The median sale price, however, stayed about the same as it was in February.

Keep in mind that this is the start of our buying season and that we typically see a jump in activity at this time of year, but these numbers were more than I was expecting. 

See the excerpt from RMLS’s March 2011 “Market Action” below.

      -Ron-

March Residential Highlights

While sales activity was down in March 2011 compared with March 2010, activity increased compared to the previous month of February 2011. Additionally, inventory in the Portland metro region was 0.7 months lower than March 2010, reaching the lowest inventory level for the area since May 2010.

 

Closed sales were down 10.2% in March 2011 compared to March 2010. Pending sales were down 16.2%, and new listings dropped 38.7%.

 

Comparing February 2011 with March 2011, closed sales jumped from 1,074 to 1,615 (50.4%). Pending sales also increased from 1,592 to 2,014 (26.5%). New listings grew from 2,883 to 3,056 (6%).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,458 active residential listings would last about 7.1 months.

 

Sale Prices

Average sale price for March 2011 declined 6.8% compared to March 2010. Median sale price also fell 10%. 

 

Month to month, comparing February 2011 to March 2011, sale prices increased. Average sale price went up from $244,500 to $261,100 (6.8%) while median sale price also increased from $213,700 to $215,000 (0.6%).

Incredible Price Reductions – 3 Condos Plus a House in Alameda

Friday, January 21st, 2011

It’s official.  This listing at the Arbor Vista complex in Goose Hollow now has a ridiculous price.  The seller just dropped the asking price $25,000 to $189,900.  You tell me where else you can find a close-in 2 bedroom condo with secured parking just 1 block from the MAX line for under $200,000.  You can’t.  There’s nothing else.  I’ve looked.  Click here for more information and pictures (Goose Hollow Condo) and then call me to set up a showing.

 

This listing at the Harrison West complex has fantastic 10th floor views and sharp style.  The street car stop is right outside the building’s front door and the MAX line is about 3 blocks away.  This very nice condo (which has a dedicated bedroom) is now priced at only $189,000.  Parking and storage are included.  Click here for more pics and information: Harrison West Condo.

 

Almost 900 square feet of living space right in the heart of the Pearl.  This great condo has 8th floor views with southern exposure (maximum light!) and twice the number of windows that you get in the typical “box car” loft. Parking is included. At 247,900 this condo has a price per square foot well below what you would expect to see for property of this caliber.  Click here for more information: Live at the Edge.

There was a $25,000 price reduction on this gorgeous Alameda Ridge home.  The place has 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, great views of the city and 2 decks.  It’s priced at only $399,000.  What more could you reasonably ask for?!  Click here for more information and then call me to set up a showing:  Alameda Ridge Home.

Portland Rated #1 For Long Term Real Estate Investment

Thursday, January 20th, 2011

Below is an excerpt from Bloomberg Business Week, “Home Buying for the Long Haul Pays Off”  by Vanessa Wong.  Check out the full article by clicking on the link at the bottom of this post. 

Up by Half, or More

In an analysis of the country’s 25 largest metro areas, Businessweek.com found that the Portland, Ore. area had the largest real price gain since 1990, with the median sale price in this year’s third quarter ($242,100) up about 85 percent over 1990, in inflation-adjusted terms. Home prices in the Denver, Baltimore, and Seattle areas also made gains of more than 50 percent in that period.

Yet in some other markets where homeownership skyrocketed during the housing boom, inflation-adjusted prices have fallen so dramatically that they are now below 1990 levels. Real prices in the Atlanta metro, for instance, are down about 21 percent compared with 20 years ago, and in Sacramento they are down 19 percent.

After recovery from the housing bust, “we expect house prices to settle into a price-growth trend that’s slightly higher than inflation over the long term. So in that sense, housing is still a long-term investment with a positive yield,” says Andres Carbacho-Burgos, an economist at Moody’s Analytics.

continued…

Best Performers

For many U.S. residents burned by the housing bust, the notion that real estate can not only tread water but actually increase in value might seem a fairy tale. It’s not. A Businessweek.com analysis of home sales data from the National Association of Realtors shows that in 18 of the nation’s 25 biggest metro areas, home prices grew in value between 1990 and 2010. In one area the change in real dollar price was as much as 85 percent, a return applying only to those who bought homes as a long-term investment, not for easy money flipping real estate. Seven of these metros lost value—generally the result of overbuilding during the real estate boom. Despite recent housing woes, real estate remains one of the best investments the average American can make. And unlike a stock certificate, it provides a place to live.

1. Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, Ore.-Wash.


Getty Images

 

1990 Price: $130,590 ($78,200 in 1990 dollars)
2010 Price: $242,100
Change in Real Dollars: +85.4 percent

Population: 2,241,841
Year Home Prices Peaked: 2007

Notwithstanding recent declines, Portland area home prices (adjusted for inflation) remain significantly higher than 1990 levels. The median price rose quickly from 2004 through 2007, peaked at about $311,000 (in 2010 dollars) in 2007, and has since dropped by about 22 percent. Moody’s Economy.com and Fiserv predict prices will reach their trough in fourth-quarter 2011.

http://finance.yahoo.com/real-estate/article/111570/home-buying-for-the-long-haul-pays-off

Portland Real Estate Market Statistics for December 2010

Friday, January 14th, 2011

Nice news!  Read the highlights below from RMLS’s monthly report on the metro area’s real estate market statistics. 

What caught my eye was that December showed a big jump in closed sales from the month before (14.3%) and an increase number of pending sales as well (6%).  The inventory in months fell a significant amount – down 2.3 months.

The average and median sale prices vs. the previous month were a mixed bag: up 2.2% and down 1.3% respectively. 

This is all really good news in a month where Realtors are supposed to be sitting at home reading movie magazines and eating bon-bons.  I may have to buy a newspaper tomorrow to see how the Oregonian manages to rain on this parade. 

      -Ron-

 

From RMLS’s December 2010 “Market Action”

 

“December Residential Highlights

Looking at the Portland Metro area market in 2010, December continued the trend of decreased activity toward the end of the year. However, closed sales underwent an uptick in December, reaching the highest monthly level since June.

Inventory also saw its lowest level since June. Closed sales were down 2.9% compared to December 2009, but pending sales were up 6%. New listings dropped 8.5%.

Comparing the previous month of November 2010 with December 2010 shows closed sales jumped from 1,279 to 1,462 (14.3%). However, pending sales fell from 1,426 to 1,210 (-15.2%), and new listings dropped from 2,437 to 1,925 (-22.2%).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,611 active residential listings would last about 7.9 months, a 2.3-month drop since November.

2010 Summary

When comparing activity in 2010 with that of 2009, closed sales dipped 0.2%. Pending sales were 2.1% lower, but new listings were up 3.0%. Total sales volume for 2010 was $5.3 billion, down from $5.5 billion in 2009.

Sale Prices

The average sale price for December 2010 declined 5.2% compared to December 2009. The median sale price also fell 5%. Month to month, comparing November 2010 to December 2010, the average sale price went up from $271,900 to $278,000 (2.2%) while the median sale price dropped from $233,000 to $230,000 (-1.3%).

For 2010, average sale price dropped 2.7% compared to 2009, and median sale prices fell 2.9%.”

Electronic Signatures

Tuesday, January 11th, 2011

I just signed up for the Docusign service and I’m wondering why I didn’t do this a year ago.  This is a service that can eliminate a whole bunch of hassle and save tons of time by utilizing electronic signatures.

During transactions, buyers and sellers get up to all sorts of travelling or simply happen to live in another part of the country (or world).   Typically, in these situations I would scan a document to my client.  The client would then have to print the doc out, sign it and fax or scan it back to me.  Often, clients don’t have access to a printer, scanner or fax machine.  With Docusign this doesn’t matter.  As long as my client (or the other agent’s client)  has access to the internet, they can get the document I’ve sent, review it and sign it electronically.  No sweat!

I’ve used this service with 3 clients so far, and all three clients have been absolutely thrilled at how easy it was. 

Docusign signatures have been seen as being legally binding in Oregon for a number of years, and I’ve dealt with the service in the past when dealing with one of the metro area’s biggest home builders. 

      -Ron-

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: $289,800

  • Avg. Days on Market: 121

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