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Rodney Johnston
REALTOR®
    Years of Experience: 15

    MBA
    CMA

Direct: (206) 979-2660

Office: (206) 979-2660



Company Info

Keller-Williams Realty
505 106th Ave NE #210
Bellevue, WA 98004
(206) 979-2660


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Housing Market

Kirkland Real Estate – Time to Buy is NOW!

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

I often get asked if I believe the market is going to continue to go down, or when is a good time to buy? In my opinion, we are nearing the bottom. Especially, in the markets that seem to always be fairly stable. Kirkland, Bellevue, Redmond and other east side spots have not had as extreme downward trend as the rest of the county, or state.

Kirkland real estate prices are down only about 3.5% from median price in 2009 to median price in 2008. The county is down approximately 10% or more depending on which statistic you quote. Prices were down from 2007 to 2008 both in Kirkland the rest of the county by a much higher rate. One skewing factor is an increase in short-sales and foreclosures. This tends to bring Kirkland real estate sales and prices down.

Also, the number of Kirkland houses for sale has trended downward. This statistic can tell you that the foreclosure mess is getting cleaned up and those who wanted to sell their Kirkland house have done so.

So, why do I think now is the time to buy a house in Kirkland, Bellevue, or Redmond? Here’s why:

- House values in Kirkland, Bellevue, Redmond are down less from 2008 to 2009 than from 2007 to 2008.
- A good chunk of the foreclosure homes and ARM’s have been cleaned up. (there are still more)
- Interest rates remain relatively low fluctuating around 5.25% to 5.75%
- Federal Tax credit available to ALL home buyers ($8,000 to 1st time home buyers who haven’t owned a home in more than 3 years, $6,000 for home buyers looking for a new residence)
- Great values abound. Sure, the median home prices in Kirkland and surrounding areas is down 3.5%. However, there still are a number of short-sales and distressed properties that you can pick up at a 10% to 20% discount or more. (Call me and I can point you in the right direction.

In a nutshell, if you’ve been waiting on the sidelines trying to time the market to catch the bottom, strap on your helmet and get in the game. There are great values, the interest rates are awesome and you can pick up $6,500 to $8,000 tax credit to boot.

Short Sale Primer – Kirkland Housing Market Edition

Monday, January 25th, 2010

As I’m sending clients listings in Kirkland and other parts of Washington, the listing will occassionally say “Short-Sale”. This isn’t a new term, although it has certainly been used more in the current economy. I’ve been doing short-sales for 10 – 15 years. I have purchased a few houses myself using the short-sale process.

What Short-Sale means is simply the bank is willing to take less (or short) of what they are owed. For example, a home owner relocated to Kirkland, WA in 2005 to join Starbucks as a barista. She bought a house in Kirkland at the top of the market for $600,000. (She’s a well paid Barista). She’s loving life living in Kirkland by the waterfront and hanging out at the great restaurants and parks.

Fast forward to August of 2009. Starbucks lays her off as not as many people are buying $5 cups of coffee. In large part this is due to the lag in the economy, but in Seattle, people are not buying coffee because Howard Schultz sold the Seattle Sonics professional basketball team to an out of state schister who moved the team to Oklahoma City! (my personal view inserted here). The Barista ends up getting laid off and can’t afford her house near the lake anymore. She needs to sell as soon as possible. The problem is that her house is now only worth $500,0000. She misses several months of house payments and she has been given a notice of default and has entered the foreclosure zone.

She uses me as her agent. Knowing the bank is owed more than the house is worth, I contact the bank and ask them if they will do a short-Sale on the house. The bank agrees to take less than is owed if she can find a buyer. I immediately start marketing the house and find a buyer. The bank has sent me a short-sale packet. The short-sale packet includes a request for the seller to put a letter of distress together. This letter explains how the seller got into her predicament. (primarily it’s due to Howard Schultz selling the Sonics to a schister). She is also required to show her income if she has any, bank statements, tax returns, other investments, etc.,. We also put together the purchase agreement with the buyer. We send all of this to the bank.

The bank reviews all of the documentation. They then will send out an appraiser to appraise the house. A smart real estate agent who is on top of things, someone such as myself, will meet the appraiser at the house. He will have his own appraisals alrerady in hand along with a well written spreadsheet showing the appraiser his version of the appraisal. Appraisers usually like this as it saves them time from having to pull their own comparable homes.

The appraiser then sends the Kirkland house appraisal to the bank showing what the Kirkland housing market is like. The bank then approves or rejects the short sale. If approved, the parties proceed to closing. Generally, the bank offers what is called a full reconveyance to the seller. That means, she’s off the hook for owing any money to the bank. (note, rumor is they may be changing at some point). She also avoids foreclosure and having the foreclosure record sit on her credit for 7 to 10 years. Everyone wins and everyone is happy.

If you have any questions on the short-sale process as a seller, or buyer, please feel free to give me a call at 206-979-2660, or visit my website at rodjohnstonre.com.

Kirkland Housing Market

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

As we enter 2010, I can sense buyers coming out of the fox hole they were in for most of 2009. More Kirkland residents have gone from an attitude of let’s wait and see to let’s think about finding a good deal on a house. I’ve had several clients looking for a good deal on a house for investment purposes, or to upgrade from the home their in. Since Kirkland is a desirable location, being close to Microsoft, I-405, 520, 20 minutes to UW, etc., getting renters is pretty easy.

Other Kirkland-ites are upgrading their homes. If you look at the current inventory of homes, you’ll notice several houses that are 90% complete, but the developer had to walk away as they ran out of money. The hottest priced houses tend to be either the lower end of the market, or the higher end of the market. These are the homes tending to move a little quicker than those in the medium-high range. It’s hard to say why this is. I think in part, the mid-level kirkland home buyers are families that have kids in middle school and don’t want to move for a while. The first time home buyer credit has pushed some would be home buyers to act a little faster. The luxury home buyers are those looking to get a great deal on a bigger, nicer house.

I expect this trend to continue in 2010. The first time home buyer credit has been extended through May. There still are good deals on high end homes and the mid-level homes are still selling at a slower clip. Hopefully, interest rates can remain relatively low allowing the recovery process to continue at a steady pace.

Kirkland/King County Housing Market Sales – June 2009

Tuesday, July 7th, 2009

The Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported that the number of closed sales of single-family homes in King County was up 4% over June 2008 Home Sales. “The first year-over-year increase since the market peaked nearly two years ago”. Here’s a link to the article: http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/realestate/2009426109_homesales07.html

On the eastside, including Kirkland, Redmond and Bellevue, Home Sales were up almost 4% overall. The housing market in the Juanita/Woodinville/Duvall area was up 31 percent year over year.

The housing market, previously driven by first time home buyers, is now moving towards buyers who are upgrading looking to get a good deal on a luxury home. The trend makes sense as several months ago, first time home buyers dominated the market taking advantage of the $8,000 first time home buyer credit. They purchased homes that were on the lower end of the price range. Those sellers who sold to those first time home buyers are now in the market for a home. They typically upgrade to a bigger or nicer home. Some even upgrade to luxury homes. There are also the empty-nesters who downsize. Those represent less than 10% of the market.

Interest rates are beginning to creep up and that may also play a role in the housing market picking up a little steam. This may be the beginning of a long and slow trend back to a normalized market. In the Kirkland market, I do see luxury homes moving at a somewhat normal pace. The entry-level homes are also moving. On average, Kirkland homes stay on the market for 63 days. In a normal market, Kirkland homes stay on the market approximately 52 days.

There still are quite a few homes “in trouble”. This will continue as all of the bad loans filter through. Those loans will either be refinanced with the current homeowner, or those homes will be sold and new loans put in place. The effect being that if the houses are sold, they will be distress sales and put downward pressure on the market. Offsetting this in Seattle is a decent job market compared to some of the other markets around the country and the fear of interest rates beginning to rise.

The conclusiong from all of this is the housing market in Kirkland and the rest of King County is solidifying. Interest and the job market will continue to prop up the market. There are still going to be distress sales for quite some time. Keep an eye on the commercial market. “Experts” are predicting a bust in the commercial real estate market within 6 to 12 months.

Choosing the Right Realtor in Kirkland Housing Market

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

You would be amazed at the number of people who pick realtors who do not know the ins and outs of the housing market where they are looking to buy a home. By doing so, you run the risk of not getting the best value for your dollar, buying a home with hidden baggage, or buying a home where a future municipal or private project may devalue the home.

In the Kirkland, Redmond and Bellevue housing market, there are a number of questions to ask your realtor candidates before choosing them. Here are a few key ones to ask:

- Does your realtor live in or near the housing market you are looking to buy?
- Does your realtor know where the quality neighborhoods are and where the neighborhoods that may be a little more run down are in Kirkland?
- How many deals did your realtor do in the past year in Kirkland?
- What are the pros and cons of living West of Market? East of Market? Totem Lake? Bridle Trails? Rose Hill?
- Is it worth buying a luxury home on the waterfont in Kirkland?
- What is the latest from the City Planning Department?
-When was the last City Planning Meeting the realtor attended?
- Do you (realtor) list the home for sellers or show the homes for buyers? Or, does your realtor have a team of underlings who do all the work and the lead realtor just gets the listings and new buyer clients and you never see them again?

By asking these questions, you can have a happy, fun buying or selling experience. Happy House hunting.

Kirkland Housing Market

Thursday, June 18th, 2009

There are a number of experts who are beginning to say that the real estate bubble has reached its’ bottom. In Kirkland, one can argue that the bursting bubble has not been nearly as big as in other parts of the country, or even within the State of Washington.

The average value of a house in Kirkland actually increased from April 2009 to May 2009 by .53%. The number of homes on the market was relatively flat from April to May 2009 at around 722 homes for sale. The average listing price is approximately $822,000. Houses typically stay on the market for 122 days. This is slightly skewed as higher priced homes generally stay on the market longer than lower priced homes. The reason for this is that there are more buyers in the lower end of the curve than on the higher end of the curve.

The housing market in Kirkland doesn’t typically follow the national, or even the state housing market trends. There are a number of factors that affect that assist in stabilizing the Kirkland housing market. One of the reasons that Kirkland has not experienced the big down turn in the housing market is the desirability of living or relocating to Kirkland. Kirkland’s attributes including proximity to Lake Washington, close to Microsoft, great restaurants, low crime rates, higher disposable income, etc., put a positive influence on the housing market. Even comparing Kirkland to neighborhoods in Seattle, such as Ballard, show that those external factors have a large influence on the housing market. In fact, the price of houses in Ballard was down year over year by about 4.6%. In Kirkland, the average price of a house decreased by approximately 1.5%.

On the lower end of the price scale, typically reserved for first time home buyers and investors, housing prices in Kirkland actually increased. Investors, seeing the values in the lower end of the market have bid up housing prices. I was recently showing a house that was introduced to the market at $325,000. It was an average rambler with 1,250 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The house was structurally perfect, but needed updates with paint and carpet. As a result of investors seeing a good deal on a house and first time home buyers using their $8,000 tax credit, the house ended up selling for $365,000. I’ve seen this type of activity on several homes priced on the lower end of the scale.

The conclusion is that if you have a home you are selling and the price is on the lower end of the market range, you can expect it to be on the market much less than the average time of 122 days a house is on the market before it sells. Also, if you are purchasing a house as an investor or first time home buyer looking to buy a house on the lower end of the market, you need to remember that there are more buyers in this range and be a little more conservative with your offers.

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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