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Marisela Morales
Realtor

Direct: (954) 588-0147

Office: (305) 960-2557



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EWM International- Weston
2000 Main Street
Weston, FL 33326
(305) 960-2557


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Weston, Florida. Rent vs. Buy

Sunday, June 6th, 2010

 

Recently I read an article on The Wall Street Journal titled “A Fresh Look at Rent vs. BUY” and I thought it was interesting applying a simple exercise to my home town, Weston Florida.

The article mentions an analysis done by Trulia. According to Trulia, the cross-over point is about 15 times annual rent. Fifteen times is the historic average. Trulia data has to be taken with some precaution. Trulia takes list prices instead of sale prices; also the  cut-off point of 15 times rent may be on the low side, points out the article.

As an example, the value for New York is 32 times; San Francisco is 22 times and Miami 8 times. The hardest hit markets show the cheapest prices.

Now going to my home town.  Weston is a young city, carefully planned, beautiful manicured landscapes, excellent schools, safe place to raise a family.  These characteristics make Weston a very attractive place to invest in.

For my exercise I took a cross-section of Weston consisting of: typical 3 bedrooms houses; about 1,600 sf; not distressed properties.

 

For Sale Closed Sales CS Av Price CS
$265,000-$399,000 $280,000-$312,000 $296,000
     
Rent Rent Cross-Over Point
$2,000/month $24,000/year 12

The result is 12 times the rent. In Weston inventory is low but according to our result, there are some options worth of evaluation. In our segment of the market if we find a property under $288,000 is worth analyzing the possibility of buying instead of renting.

Always in this type of analysis you have to take into account your current cash-flow. If renting is cheaper than buying today, leave your dream of ownership for some other time. It is a matter of the opportunity you can afford.

In this market, under the current conditions, we can say that Weston has not been hit that bad and the most important fact “Weston is a safe place, for a safe investment.”

Potential Housing Shortage in three years?

Sunday, May 23rd, 2010

Lawrance Yun, the Chief Economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR) at their recent Midyear Legislative Meeting is forecasting that with the improved market fundamentals and rising consumer confidence, home prices could rise 2 to 3 percent this year, but within the next two to three years, he suggest there could be stronger upward presure on prices from potential housing shortage because housing construction has fallen significally below long-term demand.

Housing Market on the road to Recovery

Sunday, May 23rd, 2010

Economists that participated on the National Association of Home Builders(NAHB) Contruction Forecast Conference held on May 18, 2010 agreed that the housing market is on the road to recovery, proyecting that 10 states will see normalized housing production numbers withing 18 months. According to the NAHB the road to normal levels of residential construction will be longer for some states than others.  By the end of 2011, the top 20 percent of states will see their production levels back to normal.  Those states include Texas, Montana, Wyoming, Tennessee, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas and Kansas.

NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe said that housing momentum is being carried forward by low interest rates, pent up household formations, stabilizing prices and employment growth.

In fact, one of the key factors driving housing demand is jobs.  Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics and co-panalist in the NAHB conferece claims that housing will improve as the job market does. He is forcasting that the economy will average monthly job gains of 125,000 this year, 250,000 in 2011 and 300,000 in 2012.  This growth in the job market will lead according to Zandi to overall housing starts of 700,000 units this year, close to 1 million in 2011 and about 1.7 million in 2012.

Real Estate Good News: Mortgage Rates reached the lowest level of the Year

Sunday, May 16th, 2010

 

According to FreddieMac in an article released by the Associated Press last week, the average rate on a 30 year-fixed rate mortgage dropped to 4.93% this week from 5% a week earlier. Fixed mortgage rates closely track interest rates paid on long term Treasury Bonds. US Treasury Securities got a boost from worried investors who got concerned over the European debt crisis and the fear over Greece defaulting on its debt.

What the trend will be on interest rates? According to Bankrate.com and its Mortgage Rate Trend Index 64% believe rates will remain unchanged over the next week or so; 29% think mortgage rates will rise and 7% believe mortgage rate will fall.

How can mortgage rate remain this low? Many believe that this is not a long term situation and interest rates will rise by year end. Prospective homeowners should take advantage of these low mortgage rates which along with low Real Estate prices will make the perfect opportunity to buy.

House the Market? Here Are The Stats For Weston, Zip Code 33327 And Broward County . . .

Friday, May 7th, 2010

If you ever wondered about your Real Estate investments, I am here to shed some light on that.

In spite of the fact that property values have decreased 1% per month over the past several years and short sales and foreclosure are affecting the prices, the market continues to improve.

Area Active Listings REOs Short Sales
Broward County 7755 465 2446
Weston 336 10 82
The Falls  (33327) 54 0 15

 

Broward County:  One year ago, there was 18.22 months of supply. Currently, there is only 8.86 months of supply. The inventory has decreased 34.49% over the past year while sales have increased 34.69%. The average price per square foot in March was $135.

 Weston:  One year ago, there was 12.87 months of supply. Currently, there is only 8.25 months of supply. The inventory has decreased 32% over the past year while sales have increased 6.25%. The average price per square foot in March was $159.

 The Falls  (Zip Code 33327):  One year ago, there was 12.65 months of supply. Currently, there is only 6 months of supply.

The inventory has decreased 39.18% over the past year while sales have increased 28.26%. The average price per square foot in March was $164.

 Weston will lead us out of the “bubble.”

 As I stated, even though the foreclosures and short sales have certainly affected the sales prices, history will prove that as inventory decreases, prices increase.

I have witnessed multiple bids in the marketplace when the properties are priced to sell. Pricing is key. 

A picture paints a 1000 words. Below is the graph which represents what is happening in the market for zip code 33327.

In zip code 33327, the average sold price is $440,000 while the average list price is $549,000.

The “median” priced home is $406,000. The homes are selling within 92% of their “last” listed price.

 In Weston overall, the average sold price is $340,000, while the average list price is $627,000. The “median” priced home is $292,000. The homes are selling within 94% of their “last” listed price.

 Not surprising, Broward County’s average sold price is $191,000, while its average list price is $368,000. The “median” priced home is $110,000 – much lower than Weston or zip code 33327. This should not be surprising since 2446 of those listed are short sales and 465 are foreclosures (REOs).

All in all, Weston is leading us out of the housing “bubble.”  Our sales at EWM are up 46% over last year.  I am confident that the market is improving, and my numbers substantiate this information.

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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