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Lee Youngblood
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Housing Market

Pending Home Sales Stabilize, Remain above Year-Ago Levels

Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010

In an article released today, RISMEDIA reports home sales are increasing and the market is stabilizing despit the popular 8,000 Dollar tax credit.

RISMEDIA, February 3, 2010-Pending home sales have leveled from a market swing driven by response to the home buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in December 2009, increased 1.0% to 96.6 from 95.6 in November, and remains 10.9% above December 2008 when it was 87.1. In November, the monthly index had fallen by 16.4% from surging activity in preceding months.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it’s important to recognize how the tax credit is skewing market data. “There are easily understood swings in contract activity as buyers respond to a tax credit that was expiring and was then extended and expanded,” he said. “These swings are masking the underlying trend, which is a broad improvement over year-ago levels. December activity was the fifth highest monthly tally in two years.”

Buyers who have a contract in place to purchase a primary residence by April 30, 2010, have until June 30, 2010, to finalize the transaction to qualify for a tax credit of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers and $6,500 for repeat buyers.

The PHSI in the Northeast rose 2.3% to 76.1 in December and is 14.9% higher than December 2008. In the Midwest, the index increased 5.2% to 86.9 and is 8.7% above a year ago. Pending home sales in the South rose 2.2% to an index of 98.4, and are 5.5% higher than December 2008. In the West, the index fell 3.8% to 119.9 but is 18.6% above a year ago.

Yun projects the extended and expanded tax credit will encourage 2.4 million households to take the credit in 2010. “While new-home sales will remain low due to a lack of construction, existing-home sales are projected to rise to around 5.6 million in 2010,” Yun said. Last year there were 5.16 million existing-home sales.
He added that one of the greatest benefits of rising sales will be firming home prices. “For several months now we’ve been seeing stabilization in all of the home price measures as inventory is pulled down,” Yun said. “As a result, the housing wealth for many middle class families has begun to stabilize.”

Existing home sales surged in late 2009

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

In a news story earlier today KLS Chanel 5 reported home prices are on the rise in Salt Lake.

SALT LAKE CITY — Sales of existing homes in Utah surged the last part of 2009, ending a three-year decline in falling home sales.
The Salt Lake Board of Realtors says home sales in December jumped 19 percent compared to the same month in 2008. Overall, sales in 2009 were up 4 percent — more than 9,000 homes were sold in Salt Lake County.
The numbers for single-family homes are even better. More than 2,400 single-family homes were sold in the fourth quarter of 2009, a 36 percent increase compared to 1,785 sales in the same quarter of 2008.
Bill Heiner, president of the Salt Lake Board of Realtors, explained “existing home sales are surging because of more affordable home prices and the federal government’s home buyer tax credit. In addition, there are fewer newer homes being built. Because of that buyers are turning to existing inventory.”
The Board of Realtors says the numbers suggest the bottom of the housing market was in 2008. It forecasts home sales this year could rise 10 percent

Housing And Manufacturing Driving Early Stages Of Economic Recovery

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

In an article released by msnbc on Wednesday Oct 21, it reported that the housing and manufacturing are jump starting the economy into growth and recovery.

“Improvements in housing and manufacturing are driving the early stages of the economic recovery, according to a Federal Reserve survey released Wednesday.

The Fed’s latest snapshot of business conditions nationwide found “many sectors” of the economy either stabilized or logged modest improvements over the last six weeks. The pickups, though, often were from “depressed” levels of activity.

Still, the new report adds to evidence that a recovery has started from the worst recession since the 1930s.

Many analysts believe the economy started to grow again in the third quarter at a pace of at least 3 percent, and is continuing to expand now. The government releases third-quarter results next week. If analysts are right, that would mark a turning point for the economy, which has contracted for a record four straight quarters.

The central bank’s survey findings will figure into discussions when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues meet Nov. 3-4. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at record low at that time and probably into next year to help foster the recovery.”

I can say from personal experience that I am seeing an improving housing market. In the last few months I have seen an increase in the number of homes that have multiple offers, and buyers are getting in ti bidding wars. This activity is not across the board in all price ranges, but it is happening more frequently.

National and Utah Home Sales Headed In the Right Direction

Saturday, September 26th, 2009

 

    Last year in June there were nationally 4.8 million homes for sale, this year in June the number shrank to 3.8 million. Thanks to these encouraging numbers and others- like the demand for durable goods rising for the past three months and the stock market making a nice comeback- have lead forecasters to predict higher home sales and stabilizing prices in the year to come.

 

    Here in Utah we are seeing the same upward trend according to statistics on homes sales. In places like Daybreak and Saratoga Springs (near Camp Williams), homes sales have risen dramatically over last year. In some areas the number of home sales have almost doubled.

 

    With home sales heading in a positive direction, shrinking inventory, and prices stabilizing we are in a good position to see housing lead the economy into growth and for job numbers to start looking up as well.

Daybreak Real Estate: Residential Real Estate Market Update.

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

As many of you probably do, I listen to the radio on my way to work in the morning. If you listen to American Public Media then you may have heard a report titled “Things Looking Up For Construction”. Not all the news was good but one spot that was good is private residential construction spending is up.

This is construction for things like single family homes. Indeed spending did go up according to the Commerce department report for July. Private residential spending rose 2.3% making it the largest increase since September 2008. Additionally On Tuesday, the Institute for Supply Management reported that its manufacturing index for last month came in at 52.9 from 48.9 in July and 44.8 in June. Numbers over 50 indicate growth according to the Wall Street Journal. This translates to more new homes going into the ground.

Much of this new growth is attributed to first time buyers deciding it’s time to buy and take advantage of the $8000 dollar hand out from Uncle Sam. These are encouraging numbers. We also seem to be improving in these areas in Utah as well, especially along the Wasatch Front. With more building permits being approved and home sales doing better in Daybreak, West Jordan and the Camp William areas- where I work much of the time, I have an optimistic outlook for our local real estate market.

August Home Sales for Daybreak, Utah

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

This years second quarter sales numbers indicate an increase of 21.48% in home sales in South Jordan (where Daybreak is located), the area is showing improvement. For the month of August Daybreak continued to show good numbers. Daybreak was responsible for almost half of all the homes sold in South Jordan. The average sales price for August was $250,468 in Daybreak; homes in this price range in the Salt Lake valley were on the market for an average of 68 days. With homes typically taking 30 to 45 days to close that means the home was only on the market for about a month before the buyer was found.

West Jordan Real Estate: The Positive Real Estate Outlook For Remainder Of 2009 Gains Validity.

Friday, August 28th, 2009

The time has come, the bottom is here. A growing number of experts in a number of fields are telling us that “we have hit bottom” and none of them maybe as credible as Ben Bernanke.

This brief article was release today by the National Association of Realtors. Straight from the horses mouth “the worst is over”. That’s good news for buyers and sellers across the country and here in Utah.

Fed Chair Says the Worst Is Over
Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke said on Friday that he was optimistic the economy is about to take off.

Bernanke acknowledged that credit is still tight, especially for businesses, but he told an audience of bankers, academics, and economists that the worst is over.

“Although we have avoided the worst, difficult challenges still lie ahead,” Bernanke said. “We must work together to build on the gains already made to secure a sustained economic recovery.”

Bernanke called for stronger regulation of financial rules “to ensure that the enormous costs of the past two years will not be borne again.”

Source: The Associated Press, Jeannine Aversa (08/21/2009)

Daybreak Real Estate: If You Are Thinking About Buying A Home Don’t Wait!

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

We have all heard the age old adage buy low sell high. That might not be good advice for every situation, but when it comes to buying a home in a bottomed out real estate market it is.

It is the opinion of a growing number of experts that we have hit bottom not only around the country but also here in Utah. Some of the States cities are a little bit slower on the up tick, but the areas I enjoy working in (Daybreak, West Jordan, and the cities around Camp Williams) I am definitely seeing an increase in sold homes and prices.

Some of this increase in the housing market is seasonal, but the numbers have been much higher than expected. This is an indication the economy is stabilizing. The Case Shiller Index reported this morning a 3% raise over last quarter- the first quarterly rise in three years.

Ryan Kirkham president of the Salt Lake Board of Realtors released a Presidents message this month with a lot of positive news. He believes based on reported sales the Utah market may have turned a corner saying “It appears that the Salt Lake City is at the bottom of the housing recession and is making a comeback”. He also reported that nearly 55% of business leaders expect economic conditions to improve in the next six months. This is good news for the State and indication consumer confidence is on the rise.

An article in the wall street journal also points to a bottoming out of the recession reporting “More companies than usual have beaten earning targets, something that generally happens at the bottom of a recession” the report also said “Combined with improved forecasts for economic growth and moderating job losses, some economists are saying the worst is over.” All this positive news doesn’t mean that good times are back again, but it’s very encouraging that we have hit bottom.

If we truly are at the bottom of the recession this might just be your opportunity to take advantage of some good advice and buy your home while the market is low

West Jordan Real Estate: Real Estate Outlook For The Remainder of 2009

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Things continue to look up for the Utah housing market. Three economists recently gave their opinions on the housing market in Utah. All of them agreed that things are fragile still, but they all had a good forecast for the rest of this year and next.

In a recent article in Utah Realtor Magazine Jeff Thredgold of Zions Bank was quoted saying “When you have a major boom, you get a major bust. When you have a minor boom like we had, you get a minor bust” He believes that we will have an over all economic growth by mid-2010

“A lag in job creation in the second half of this year is a concern.” said Jed Smith managing director of Quantitative research at the National Association of Realtors. He believes nationally the housing market should start its recovery in the second half of this year and continue to gather momentum in 2010. He attributes this on the stimulus efforts and the stabilization of the banking and credit markets.

Kelly Mathews of Wells Fargo expects Utah will need an increasing residential construction to accommodate the states ongoing population growth. She also believes that things will remain favorable this year for mortgages rates. Freddie Mac and the National Association of Realtor forecast rates between 5.4 and 5.5 for the rest of 2009.

If we have hit the bottom of the market like experts are starting to indicate this would be the best time to buy a home. The 8,000 dollar tax credit is going to expire December first of this year. Don’t miss the opportunity, it’s not to often Uncle Sam gives you money for something you want to do anyway.

sold

Daybreak Real Estate: Don’t Wait Until The Market Recovers To Sell Your Home.

Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

Most home owners these days are depressed about how much less there homes is worth compared to a few years ago. The feeling is understandable, but it may not be as bad as you think. I know many of us have lost thousands, but look at it this way, So has every one ells. I’m not suggesting we should all be happy because misery loves company and our neighbors lost big too. Think about it, if you have equity in your home and you want to move, that money will have greater buying power now then it will when everyone’s home values come back.

In this market it can be though to sell, but it can be done. With a good realtor and some patience there is no reason to put off selling your home. Things are looking up for real estate in and around the Salt lake valley. Some areas have seen modest comebacks like Daybreak with an increase of sales at 22%, with others like Eagle Mountain and Saratoga Springs that have see an increase in sales of 100% or higher. The Average home in Salt Lake County is on the Market for 81 days before it is sold, that’s only two and half months. If you would like to move do it now and take advantage of low interest rates and the opportunities today market has to offer.

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 241,487

  • Avg. Days on Market: 78

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