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Jim, Jan and Grif
The Boeglin Team
    Years of Experience: 7

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Economic Indicators in Housing Market

TRICKLE DOWN OR CREEP UP?

Monday, December 6th, 2010

Thanks to 24/7 News channels, we are witness to a historic political debate that is raging in Washington.  The debate has grave implications for the future of the U.S. economy, and there appears to be general consensus on the goals of:

  • Economic expansion
  • Job growth
  • A healthy and stable housing market
  • Inflation under control
  • Energy independence and
  • All while closing/eliminating the deficit between revenue and expenses

The “right” approach to the economic problems facing this nation is different, based upon the particular perspective of the elected representative in Congress.  In truth, one single approach is probably not the best solution.

One perspective is that the system should be designed for the “haves” to have more, so that they can spend more and therefore stimulate the economy.  This theory pushes corporate profits to higher levels, giving businesses the ability to create more jobs.  With job creation come additional taxpayers.  This in turn should result in more tax revenues which will lead to a balanced budget.  This is sometimes referred to as the “trickle down” theory.  Benefits begin at the top of the “food chain” and then trickle down to the bottom.

A second perspective is that the system should be designed to protect and improve the lot of the “have-nots” and “middle classes”.  This theory allows for their families to pay their bills, spend their income on the essentials, and buy homes.  In turn, this will generate a higher level of economic activity, create additional jobs, bring stability to the housing market, and creep up to enhanced corporate profits and bonuses, economic growth, and higher tax revenues to apply toward the deficit.

The political debate is framed in terms of the positions on such legislation as tax cuts, unemployment benefits, energy policies, and social “safety net” programs.  I trust that the vast majority of our elected representatives have the best interests of America at heart, and simply differ on the basis of perspective or philosophy.  I pray that it is only a small group of our elected representatives who are abusing the debate to sabotage the American economy for political gain.

Until Congress and the Administration decide to work together to solve the huge economic problems facing our country, we will remain “stuck in reverse”.  There are areas of compromise that have the potential to move America forward.  As a Realtor, I fervently hope that the politicians come to their senses very soon.  The housing market can’t handle much more “politics as usual”.

DUMP TRUCKS – Economic Indicators of Bonita Springs Housing Market

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010
 PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED 12/7/09 ON WWW.BOEGLINTEAM.COM  
 

The conventional wisdom among economists is that certain economic measurements can predict the future direction of the economy.  Economists pore over statistics such as:  average weekly hours worked in the manufacturing sector; new orders of consumer goods; building permits; and consumer confidence.

As an amateur economist, I have my own leading economic indicator:  Dump Trucks!

For the past couple of years, dump trucks have been parked at some undisclosed location in Southwest Florida.  Their absence on the roads has been noticeable, and the local economy has tanked.  This morning as I biked along Livingston, Three Oaks, and Ben Hill Griffith Parkways on my trek to the Gulf Coast Center, I was painfully aware of the increased number of dump trucks on the road.  They are hard not to notice on a bike, as they bear down from behind with the outside wheels crowding the bike lane. 

Why do I consider dump trucks to be a leading economic indicator?  Simple.  Dump trucks go to work sites; work sites employ workers; employed workers have income to spend on food, clothing, cars, furniture, appliances, etc.; some of which is grown, manufactured, or assembled in the U.S.A.; which creates jobs in farming, manufacturing, automotive, etc.; creating even more jobs and profits for companies; some of whom may need housing, etc., etc., etc. 

And if my admittedly unscientific study of dump trucks proves inaccurate?  Then I’ll be spending more time on my bike and less time driving my car, because gasoline will not be in my budget.

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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