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Reece and Nichols
11901 W 119th Street
Overland Park, Kansas
(913)402-2513


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Johnson County Housing Market

Housing Recovery Expected to Take Years

Thursday, January 26th, 2012

Its clear that housing has hit bottom for most of the country. (Yes, in some markets there will be an additional 3-5% loss in value over the next 12 months.) All the ‘bubble appreciation’ has now evaporated and home values stand where they were back in 1999-2002..or in many areas the market has over corrected and its now possible to buy homes at 1998-1999 values. The only question now is how long will it take for the housing market to fully recover? A complete housing recovery will mean there is a 4 month supply of homes for sale. Before there is any sort of sustained recovery the 6,000,000 homes already foreclosed upon (or in some state of foreclosure) will have to be sold. Facts to remember, 30% of all homeowners (with a mortgage) are now underwater. If you were to factor in the owners that would be underwater if they had to sell (selling fees etc) the actual percent of underwater owners is actually 50%. Bottom line, 50% of ALL owners with a mortgage are underwater.

Obama’s New Message “We Can’t Wait” Hits Housing Market

Tuesday, November 1st, 2011

Recently, President Obama proclaimed his new slogan of “we can’t wait” as he described new action that he claims will help the ailing housing market and save homeowners from foreclosure.  The action consists of re-working an already in place government refinance program through FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The primary change pertains to refinancing homeowners that are under water, or that owe more than their homes are worth. In the past, there was a restriction that the borrower couldn’t be more than 25% under water and that restriction has been removed.

So, it’s a plan that rewards good behavior with a lower payment but the plan does nothing to help the borrowers that have already lost their homes, nothing for the borrowers that are delinquent and nothing for borrowers that are already in foreclosure. Possibly more important in terms of the overall housing market, it does nothing for the huge inventory levels of foreclosed properties sitting on the books of Fannie, Freddie and FHA.  While it’s great that some homeowners will be able to stay in their homes longer, I’m convinced this is not the help the market is needing. What we’ve done is allow these borrowers to stay longer, only to come to the conclusion at some point a few months down the road that they still owe tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of dollars more than their homes are worth and we may see increased defaults on these same loans in the future. Unless the negative equity problem is fixed, this isn’t going to bring the real estate market any headway in the need to stop the erosion in valuations.

At best, this is merely another stimulus plan and possibly nothing more than a political play. If this is the best the administration can do, then we’ll continue to see a housing market that struggles for a very long time. Possibly the best course of action to address the housing market would be an appropriate environment to increase employment and improve consumer sentiment. Unfortunately, with the petty partisian politics likely to play out until next November, the prospects of that kind of help seem far more distant than a year away.

Home Prices in Kansas Get Help From Increased Short Sales

Wednesday, October 26th, 2011

According to Ron Peltier, chairman andchief executive officer of Home Services of America, Inc the second largest U.S. residential brokerage, there has been a ”dramatic shift” in banks willingness to complete short sales vs a foreclosure. Distressed sales brokered by Home Services used to be made up of 60% bank owned properties and 40% short sales, but that ratio has now flipped according to Peltier in an interview with Bloomberg. Reece & Nichols is a wholly owned subsidiary of Home Services of America, Inc.

Typically, short sales are completed at an average discounted price of around 20% vs a non-distressed sale vs a bank owned property with an average discount of about 40%, according to Realty Trac, Inc.  Short sales increased 19% in the 2nd quarter vs the previous quarter while foreclosure sales were flat. That’s better for banks who lose less money and better for sellers as the stress level from completing a short sale vs having a foreclosure action completed against them is generally less. 

This is also good for the overall economy and health of the real estate market as the downward pressure on home prices is somewhat abated by the higher prices realized from home sales completed in a short sale. It’s further good news as there remains over 6 million homes delinquent or in default, many of which will need to be sold.

According to the National Association of Realtors, almost a third of all transactions in August were either bank owned properties or short sales.

Home values have declined 31 percent in the last five years, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index of values in 20 U.S. cities, as competition from foreclosures pressures sellers to lower their asking prices. The resulting crash was worse than the 27 percent plunge in values during the Depression, according to Stan Humphries, chief economist of Zillow Inc., a Seattle-based real estate information company.

The drop in home values has pushed almost a quarter of U.S. mortgage borrowers underwater, meaning their debt is more than their homes are worth, according to a report by CoreLogic Inc. (CLGX), a real estate data company in Santa Ana, California. That so- called negative equity prevents owners from conducting traditional deals because they would have to pay the difference between their loan balance and the sale price.

The drop in home values has pushed almost a quarter of U.S. mortgage borrowers underwater, meaning their debt is more than their homes are worth, according to a report by CoreLogic Inc. (CLGX), a real estate data company in Santa Ana, California. That so- called negative equity prevents owners from conducting traditional deals because they would have to pay the difference between their loan balance and the sale price.

If you believe you may benefit from a short sale, call an experienced and knowledgeable agent to help you review your options. We’ve closed hundreds of short sale transactions with every major lender and many small to mid sized lenders across the country. Give us a call today and set up a no-cost, no-obligation meeting.

Interesting Housing Statistics For Kansas City Area, September 2011

Tuesday, October 25th, 2011

September 2011 Housing Statistics

Average Sales Price: The average new home price this month ($307,582) is 1% lower than the same month last year

($311,072). There were two counties (Leavenworth and Platte) with price increases. The average existing home price this month ($137,462) is 9% lower than the same month one year ago ($151,351). Wyandotte was the only county that experienced an increase in average sales price for existing homes from the same month last year. The average price for combined new and existing homes in the region this month was $150,165, which was 8% lower than the average sales price of $162,092 for combined sales prices in September 2010. Wyandotte County also showed an increase in the average sales price for new & existing combined from the same month last year.

Home Sales: New home sales this month of 163 represents a 9% increase from one year ago when there were 149 new home sales in September. New home sales also increased this month by 7% from one month ago when there were 152 new home sales. There were 1,913 existing homes sold in September, representing an increase of 21% from one year ago when there were 1,578 sales. Existing home sales were down 10% from last month’s sales of 2,129. Combined home sales of existing and new homes were 2,076 for September, which is also down 9% from the total of 2,281 sales from a month ago. This month’s combined total sales were 20% higher than one year ago when there were 1,727 sales.

Inventory: New home inventory for this month was 1,309, representing virtually no change from last month’s new home inventory of 1,312. The new home inventory for the region is 17% lower than it was a year ago at this time when there were 1,577 new homes on the market. Existing home inventory this month of 14,596 shows a 4% decrease compared to 15,165 one month ago. The existing inventory this month is also 11% lower than it was a year ago when the existing inventory was 16,383. New & existing inventory combined of 15,905 this month compared to 16,477 last month represents a 3% decrease in the past month. One year ago the inventory was 17,960, which represents a 11% decrease in total inventory over the past year.

Kansas City Region Supply of Homes on the Market: The Supply calculation is determined by taking the “Inventory” and dividing it by the “12 month average of the number of Sales.” Generally speaking, a 5-6 month supply of homes on the market equates to a “balanced” market. When the supply exceeds 6 months, the market begins to favor buyers, and when the supply is less than 5 months the market tends to favor sellers. Supply for combined new and existing homes was 8.5 months of supply in September. This is slightly lower than the 8.7 months of supply in September 2010. The existing home supply was 8.4 months for September which is also slightly lower than the 8.7 months supply of existing homes last year in September. The new homes supply in September 2011 was 9.4 months, about a one month increase from one year ago when the new home supply was 8.7 months. There is a buyer’s edge present in the new and existing home markets.

Source: Kansas City Regional Association of REALTORS® and Heartland Multiple Listing Service ©Copyright 2011. KCRAR is the “Voice for Real Estate in the Kansas City Area”

Has The Housing Market Hit Bottom?

Tuesday, October 11th, 2011

We hit the bottom this year and the market will remain flat until 2014 when it will start a slow recovery, according to Rich Sharga, an executive vice president with Carrington Mortgage. More than a million foreclosure filings that should have started this year have not moved forward yet. That delay further exacerabates an anemic market and continues to push out a resolution of the housing market for years.

Banks hold about 800,000 REO’s ( real estate owned) and nearly 75% of those homes are not listed for sale, according to Sharga. Even more troublesome, another 800,000 homes are in foreclosure and another 1.5 million are delinquent. This shadow inventory will continue to put pressure on any housing recovery as monthly foreclosures will remain elevated through 2012 and inventories high until at least through 2013. “We can’t expect to see home price appreciation until we work through these distressed assets” he said.

Since 2005, there has only been one quarter where banks have sold more homes than they’ve taken back through foreclosure, creating a huge inventory of bank owned properties that need to be cleared out.

A Possible End to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Affects Real Estate Market In Johnson County KS

Tuesday, February 15th, 2011
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Check out this video discussing the possibility of these mortgage giants going away. This could have tremendous effects on the housing market near and long term in Johnson County KS and nationally.

Homes Valued At Less Than Amount Owed Increase to 27% according to Zillow.com

Wednesday, February 9th, 2011

According to a recent quarterly report by Zillow.com, 27% of homeowners owe more on their homes than their current value. That figure is up from 23.2% in the previous quarter which was also up from the prior quarter. For all of 2010, the trend continued with slightly depreciating home values and ever more homeowners facing negative equity in their homes.

Unfortunately, the ever increasing numbers of homes under water is another indicator of more foreclosures to come. Owing more than a home is worth is only second to a borrower having unaffordable payments as the reason leading to foreclosure. With the foreclosure rate indicated to be higher in 2011 than last year, this will create additional pressures on the already struggling housing industry as the market works to absorb the coming inventory of bank owned properties.

While this will likely keep housing prices somewhat stagnant for several more years, for those that are looking for a new home now and in the next few years, this continues to be the best buying opportunity that will ever exist in most peoples lives. The tremendous upside potential that exists in todays real estate market will be the foundation of many nest eggs for years to come.

If you owe more on your house than it’s worth, if you’re behind on your payments or are about to be, maybe now is the time for you to investigate the possibility of doing a short sale on your home. Our team has many years of experience in short sales and hundreds of closed transactions behind us. Call or email us today and we’ll help you get your home sold and the stress and worries behind you.

Vacant Homes now totaling over 18 million, including Johnson County KS

Sunday, February 6th, 2011
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Homes abandoned for a variety of reason continue to increase with the number nationally now standing at approximately 18.4 million according to this report by CNBC.

Small Percentage of Foreclosures Are On The Market In Johnson Co KS

Thursday, February 3rd, 2011
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RealtyTrac, an online marketplace for foreclosure properties, recently reported major banks are holding roughly 1 million bank owned homes but that only 30% of that inventory has made it to the market place, says, Rich Sharga, Senior Vice President. Also, the report stated that foreclosure filings in 2010 were at a record high and should climb even higher in 2011, possibly exceeding 4 million filings. What’s worse, is that doesn’t even count the more than 5 million delinquent loans that haven’t yet entered the initial stages of a foreclosure.

These figures highlight a major hurdle in the recovery of the housing market, and for the overall economy as well. The management of the foreclosure process in cases already begun, those loans that are delinquent and yet to go into foreclosure and the inventory of already repossessed homes banks and lenders must now sell are huge in numbers. Recently, analysts have said that something on the order of 8 million repossessed homes will need to be liquidated over the next five years in order for the real estate market to stabilize.

Couple that with continued elevated unemployment levels, forcing more and more homeowners to get behind on their mortgages. The CBO (Congressional Budget Office) recently reported that unemployment levels will remain above 9% for 2011 and will not return to “natural levels” until 2016. Often times, these new delinquencies are not from the same borrower pool as when the market correction began which were those borrowers with subprime and Alt-A mortgages. Today, many borrowers facing delinquencies have prime loans and have been considered excellent loans risks based on income, assets, payment history, etc. The realities of today’s economy and troubled loans is spreading and is entrenched in all areas of the housing sector.

Adding to the problem of working through inventory and beginning to see a recovery in prices are issues banks and lenders are having with processing paperwork. In October, 2010, foreclosures were stalled in many states due to improperly signed documents, which pushed more than 250,000 foreclosures into 2011. In addition, in the 23 states (including Kansas) where foreclosures are handled through the court system, the backlogs of cases are causing long delays.

One bright spot in all this is the fact that many buyers are coming to the market and asking for help with buying short sale and foreclosure properties. Sites, such as RealtyTrac, are reporting increased traffic indicating buyers are getting serious. There hasn’t been a buying opportunity like this one for decades and, possibly, this will be the best buying opportunity many buyers will ever see in their lifetimes. If you’re interested in purchasing a short sale or foreclosure/bank owned home, give us a call and we’ll help you through the process.

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