Posted By _susanne_ On July 5, 2010 @ 1:08 pm In _Home Buying 101_,
_Home Value News_, _Homeowner’s Toolkit_, _Real Estate_, _Real Estate
Information_, _Real Estate News_, _Real Estate Trends_, _Today’s
Marketplace_, _Today’s Top Story_, _Today’s Top Story – Consumer_ |
_Comments Disabled
^[1] RISMEDIA, July 6, 2010—Following a surge driven by the home buyer
tax credit, pending home sales fell with the expiration of the deadline
for qualified buyers to sign a purchase contract, according to the
National Association of Realtors.
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator, dropped 30%
to 77.6 based on contracts signed in May 2010 from a reading of 110.9 in
April, and is 15.9% below May 2009 when it was 92.3. The falloff comes
on the heels of three strong monthly gains as home buyers rushed to take
advantage of the tax credit.
The data reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with
a lag time of one or two months. However, many closings have been
delayed recently from a rush of buyers into the system and slow
processing of short sales, in addition to the heavy volume and a more
thorough loan underwriting process. As many as 180,000 buyers who signed
contracts by April 30 may have missed the June 30 closing deadline for
the tax credit. However, Congress passed legislation recently to extend
the deadline for delayed contracts and President Obama is expected to sign.
NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said, “Consumers are rational and they
rushed to meet the tax credit eligibility deadline in April. The sharp
decline in contract signings in May is a natural result with similar low
levels of sales activity anticipated in June,” he said. “Surprisingly,
though, some local markets such as Portland, Maine and Jacksonville,
Fla., actually experienced an increase in contract signings from a year
ago without the tax credit. Existing-home sales that close in June will
remain elevated, but we’ll then see a notable decline for July and August.”
Congress also reauthorized the National Flood Insurance Program. Many
lenders were hesitant to approve mortgages on homes needing flood
insurance without congressional action and numerous sales have been on
hold. The action is retroactive to a temporary authorization that
expired May 31, and also is expected to be signed by the president.
Yun noted the tax credit has broadly stabilized home prices. “Without
the tax credit, there will be more aggressive price negotiations between
buyers and sellers. The key test on whether the housing market can stand
on its own without stimulus medicine will depend critically on private
sector job creation in the second half of the year. We’ll also keep a
close eye on market conditions on the Gulf Coast.”
Through May of this year, 495,000 net private sector jobs have been
created; NAR’s forecast for employment growth is about 1 million
additional net new jobs over the balance of the year and another 2
million in 2011.
“If jobs come back as expected, the pace of home sales should pick up
later this year and reach a sustainable level of activity given very
favorable affordability conditions,” Yun said.
“In most areas of the country, there will be no sharp snap back in home
prices in the upcoming years, although some local markets have
experienced double-digit gains this year,” Yun said. NAR forecasts the
national median home price to rise only 4% cumulatively over the next
two years.
“One factor that could lead to price acceleration in upcoming years for
some markets is if the very low levels of new home construction were to
persist for another year or two,” he added.
The PHSI in the Northeast fell 31.6% to 67.0 in May and is 14.8% lower
than May 2009. In the Midwest the index dropped 32.1% to 70.8 and is
20.2% below a year ago. Pending home sales in the South fell 33.3% to an
index of 82.5, and are 14.4% lower than May 2009. In the West the index
declined 20.9% to 85.3 and is 15.1% below a year ago.
For more information, visit www.realtor.org ^[2] .






Avg. Sales Price: 379,000
Free Market Alerts
