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Alan Smith
Agent
    Years of Experience: 6

    CSP - Certified New Home Sales Professional

Direct: 208-473-0343

Office: 208-377-2999



Company Info

Re/Max - Elite Properties
10062 W Fairview Ave Ste. 120
Boise, ID
208-377-2999


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Comparing Boise Area Home Prices – Normal vs Shorts and Bank-Owned

Friday, April 30th, 2010

If you’ve been wondering what effect the prices of Short Sales and Bank-Owned properties have had on non-default homes in Ada County (the general Boise area) here’s the answer: 

Using Price per Square Foot as a simple comparable, the average for a non-distressed home in 2009 was $105. That compares to $93 and $86 for Short Sales and Bank-Owned properties, respectively. It looks like the numbers so far for 2010 are holding generally the same. It’ll take another couple months of data to see if there’s any shifting going on. So there’s a price premium for a non-default property of about 13% over Short Sales, and 22% for Bank-Owned houses. 

Why? Probably because home shoppers quickly learn the characteristic differences of these types of sales, and then target the sale type which best suits their tolerance. Buyers are willing to pay a slight premium for a timely transaction, on a no-compromises, no-stories property. 

Here are two final pieces of information – 1. The sold price on each of these three types of transactions averages out to about 95% of the last asking price.  And, 2. From area to area within the county, these numbers shift due to location and supply.

The Fannie Mae Housing Survey

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

(http://www.fanniemae.com/about/housing-survey.html)

 Here’s a condensed version of the report’s results:

 

80% – consider homeownership important to the economy
31% – think the economy is on the right track, but,
44% – expect their financial situation to improve in the next year, and,
56% – of renters, are more optimistic about their personal finances than mortgage holders, and,
63% – of delinquent borrowers feel likewise

 64% – think it is a good time to buy a house . . .
      31% – of those, think it is a very good time to buy a house
      66% – number responding in 2003 that it was a good time to buy a house
73% – think housing prices will go up or stay the same over the next year . . .
      37% – of those, think prices will increase . . .
      36% – of those, think prices will stay the same

70% – say homeownership is one of the safest investment available.  In 2003, 83%
74% – think putting money into a savings, or money market account is safe.  In 2003, 79%
17% – believe buying stocks is a safe investment

65% – prefer owning to renting
     43% – for safety
     33% – for schools . . .both, ahead of economic considerations

 90% – satisfied with current mortgage
     93% – of those, with 30-year fixed rate mortgages
     76% – of those, with hybrid adjustable
     68% – of those, with adjustable mortgages    (and, the last two groups are more likely to be delinquent)

 Of renters . . .
79% – feel renting has been positive for them and their families
75% – believe that owning makes more sense than renting
54% – feel their credit history is not good enough to qualify for a loan
47% – feel they couldn’t afford purchase, or upkeep
67% – plan to buy a home at some point in the future
70% – think purchasing today is harder than it was for their parents generation
44% – would buy a house if they had to move
23% – would purchase a home later than they planned

 Of all respondents . . .
60% – think purchasing today is harder than it was for their parents generation.  In 2003, 49%
68% – think getting a mortgage will be harder for the next generation 

Top obstacles to obtaining a home loan:
22% – poor credit
19% – income
15% – job security
15% – lack of sufficient down payment

 76% – were confident they would receive good loan consultation for new loan, or refi
     47% – were very confident
51% – are making personal sacrifices to own a home
     24% – are sacrificing a great deal
76% – would pay mortgage before other bills 
42% – would give a higher priority to bills over their mortgage
48% – say banks should foreclose on owners who are unable to pay their mortgage
43% – feel otherwise
53% – feel homeowners are responsible for getting loans they can’t afford
88% – feel it is unacceptable to stop making payments on an underwater mortgage
     70% – of those who are delinquent, feel the same
        8% – believe it is acceptable

 “Does financial distress make stopping payments on an underwater loan acceptable?”
15% – answered yes
   8% – felt it was acceptable generally

 Most likely motivators for keeping mortgage payments current:
35% – impact on credit score
33% – moral qualms
2X – likeliness of over and under borrowers to consider defaulting because they knew someone who had

-Alan   http://www.alansmith-re.com    (208) 473-0343

Boise Home Sales Activity in Transition

Tuesday, April 6th, 2010

Supply up, sales up, average and median prices down.

 For Boise, the real estate market peaked over the summer months in 2007. Average prices had lofted to $280,641,and median prices almost made it to $240,000. For those months, the number of homes sold represented between 13% and 15% of the total homes offered.

Understandably, today’s average and median prices are at 64% of their peak, and the average number of homes listed has dropped to 84% of the peak. What is surprising is that the turnover for March was 14%!

It’s hard to tell how much the First-Timer and Move-up tax credit affected the increase in activity. But, that it did have some effect can be assumed, since March’s average and median prices were 6% and 5% lower than February’s, respectively. The opportunity to take advantage of the credit ends on the 30th of this month. With that incentive over, successive month’s stats should more accurately depict the market.
- Alan http://www.alansmith-re.com// (208) 473-0343

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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