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Alan Smith
Agent
    Years of Experience: 6

    CSP - Certified New Home Sales Professional

Direct: 208-473-0343

Office: 208-377-2999



Company Info

Re/Max - Elite Properties
10062 W Fairview Ave Ste. 120
Boise, ID
208-377-2999


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Housing Market

Are you looking for a Great Home, or a Good Deal?

Wednesday, May 19th, 2010

A good deal on a house is considered having purchased it below market value. And, if a good deal is your prime objective, it can be achieved. But, other objectives like location, condition, and floorplan, will need to be sacrificed. If price is the major focus, these other preferences may not be a feature of the Good Deal home. 

On the other hand, if buying a “great house” is most important, it means the home you’re looking for is the one that will most closely meet all of your needs and preferences. A Great House, and a Good Deal aren’t mutually exclusive, just rare. 

Before you start looking for a house, list your desires in order of preference. Keep them general, like price range, location, floorplan, etc. (price range should be first, because it’s absolute). As you look at homes, let additional preferable features you may find in each surprise you. Homes you find that score well, preference-wise, are worth more to you than those that don’t, irrespective of their asking price. That’s simply because you’ve found what you’re looking for. At that point, offer, negotiate, and buy.

The Fannie Mae Housing Survey

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010

(http://www.fanniemae.com/about/housing-survey.html)

 Here’s a condensed version of the report’s results:

 

80% – consider homeownership important to the economy
31% – think the economy is on the right track, but,
44% – expect their financial situation to improve in the next year, and,
56% – of renters, are more optimistic about their personal finances than mortgage holders, and,
63% – of delinquent borrowers feel likewise

 64% – think it is a good time to buy a house . . .
      31% – of those, think it is a very good time to buy a house
      66% – number responding in 2003 that it was a good time to buy a house
73% – think housing prices will go up or stay the same over the next year . . .
      37% – of those, think prices will increase . . .
      36% – of those, think prices will stay the same

70% – say homeownership is one of the safest investment available.  In 2003, 83%
74% – think putting money into a savings, or money market account is safe.  In 2003, 79%
17% – believe buying stocks is a safe investment

65% – prefer owning to renting
     43% – for safety
     33% – for schools . . .both, ahead of economic considerations

 90% – satisfied with current mortgage
     93% – of those, with 30-year fixed rate mortgages
     76% – of those, with hybrid adjustable
     68% – of those, with adjustable mortgages    (and, the last two groups are more likely to be delinquent)

 Of renters . . .
79% – feel renting has been positive for them and their families
75% – believe that owning makes more sense than renting
54% – feel their credit history is not good enough to qualify for a loan
47% – feel they couldn’t afford purchase, or upkeep
67% – plan to buy a home at some point in the future
70% – think purchasing today is harder than it was for their parents generation
44% – would buy a house if they had to move
23% – would purchase a home later than they planned

 Of all respondents . . .
60% – think purchasing today is harder than it was for their parents generation.  In 2003, 49%
68% – think getting a mortgage will be harder for the next generation 

Top obstacles to obtaining a home loan:
22% – poor credit
19% – income
15% – job security
15% – lack of sufficient down payment

 76% – were confident they would receive good loan consultation for new loan, or refi
     47% – were very confident
51% – are making personal sacrifices to own a home
     24% – are sacrificing a great deal
76% – would pay mortgage before other bills 
42% – would give a higher priority to bills over their mortgage
48% – say banks should foreclose on owners who are unable to pay their mortgage
43% – feel otherwise
53% – feel homeowners are responsible for getting loans they can’t afford
88% – feel it is unacceptable to stop making payments on an underwater mortgage
     70% – of those who are delinquent, feel the same
        8% – believe it is acceptable

 “Does financial distress make stopping payments on an underwater loan acceptable?”
15% – answered yes
   8% – felt it was acceptable generally

 Most likely motivators for keeping mortgage payments current:
35% – impact on credit score
33% – moral qualms
2X – likeliness of over and under borrowers to consider defaulting because they knew someone who had

-Alan   http://www.alansmith-re.com    (208) 473-0343

The Boise Area Real Estate Market – Your Guess Is As Good As Mine

Friday, April 2nd, 2010

(My previous post is made somewhat less relevant by this one, due to additional, and more current data.)

What’s currently happening in the Boise real estate market?  Right now, your guess is as good as mine.  So, here’s somedata to help educate your guess.  The way the data are at odds with one another indicates a transitional state – which probably will resolve itself within the next month or so.  Good vision now can position your purchase, or sale, at the leading edge of the wave.

So, activity has definitely picked up.  Selection has increased, deflating demand, and reducing sellers’ leverage, resulting in lower sales-price results.  Non –default homes are still the bulk of the market, and are competing price-wise with only a small, but reasonable premium over Shorts.  Homes offered as potential short sales reside in “Foreclosure’s Waiting Room”.  That’s because, due to inherent difficulties with short sale transactions, which lengthens the process and adds to their volatility, they have a less than (anecdotally) 50% success rate.  So, many are foreclosed on before they can be successfully sold.

Perennially, the real estate market peaks in mid-summer, after having slowed down into the holidays and the new year.  Cycle-wise, we’re just in the middle of the Winter-to-Summer ramp-up.  There’s little question that prices have, generally, bottomed.  Now, for those who have deferred their buying or selling, it’s just a matter of using all the current indicators to determine when to take action.

The long-term price trend for housing is up.  Once all the factors favoring a positive direction of activity in the housing market are obvious, any delay in making a move surrenders additional appreciation.  When you decide it’s time to make the move, give me a call.  I’ll provide you with a Market Analysis of your home, so you can confirm your decision.
Regards,
Alan Smith, visit my website   (208) 473-0343

Boise Home Prices

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

The sales results for October are out, and just skimming across the top, it looks as though house prices in Ada County are still dropping.   Both average, and median prices have fallen steadily since July, giving the impression that the bottom has yet to be found.  But, what if we look deeper. . .  

In October, the average selling price of homes (both existing and new construction) in Ada County was $180,167.  The median price was $155,000.  In September, those numbers were, respectively:  $190,608 and $162,900. So, it looks like prices are still falling.   

 But wait,  . . .that median price indicates the bulk of the sales activity occurred in the lower price ranges.  Sales of homes in the $0 – $160,000 price range were 54% of the total homes sold (585) in October!  Last January, that price range only accounted for 32% of the sales.  Since June, this is what the progression looked like:  38%, 43%, 45%, 47%, and 54%.  

There’s your First Time Home Buyers Tax Credit, for you!  The acceleration probably has to do with the (now extended) November 30th expiration.  So, home prices haven’t gone lower across the board – the weighting just became skewed.    

So, what really is the current Average Sold Price?  A quick, but unsophisticated, way to find the “un-skewed” average price is by using a “dollars per square foot” price comparison.  Dollars Per Square Foot, is the result of dividing the sold price by the size of the house.  The average Dollars Per Square Foot of the homes sold in October was 10% less than those of last January.  

Using the A-D-P-S-F yardstick, that would mean October’s (inelegantly) corrected Average Sales Price of $180,167 would be $189,835.  If the same correction were to be made month-by-month back through July (where the effect of the First Timer’s tax credit really began to show) I would be willing to bet that it would graph as a nearly flat line.  Voila!  We are on the bottom.

Market Recap

  • Avg. Sales Price: 379,000

  • Avg. Days on Market: 69

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